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WTI Crude Oil Futures: Volatility Reigns as Trump Comments Shake Markets

Energy Update

/ by BlueLineFutures

WTI Crude Oil Futures (February)

Yesterday’s Settlement: 73.56, down -0.40 [-0.54%]

WTI Crude Oil futures snapped their 5-day winning streak yesterday, settling lower by -0.40 after showing early morning strength.

Weakness in the U.S. dollar drove trade flows yesterday after a Washington Post article was released stating that Trump tariffs would be a much more dialed-back version than originally anticipated.

This caused a sharp sell-off in the U.S. Dollar heading into the U.S. open. Gold, silver, equities, and crude oil all rallied off the news through the open until Trump posted to Truth Social that the WAPO article was “fake news” – causing a sharp reversal in both gold and crude oil. The Dollar rebounded off the lows but remained fairly weak throughout the day.

This type of volatility should be expected at the start of the new administration and yesterday’s trade was reminiscent of Trump I, 2016 markets.

Today, futures are up +0.45 [+0.61%] to 74.01

The macro-environment is trading risk-on with equities, precious metals, and crude oil all higher. The USD Index is weaker by -0.11% while bonds are trading marginally lower. The 10 year yield is now up to 4.63% and is trading at the highs last seen since April.

In Crude news, there was a report that Chinese ports are being urged not to allow U.S. sanctioned tankers to dock or unload. The actual enforcement of sanctions against Iranian and Russian barrels is starting to bite as middle-eastern barrels continue to trade at a premium to the Brent contract.

Technical Analysis

The early morning strength we saw yesterday was wiped away quickly as Trump tweeted away the majority of crude oil strength and dollar weakness. The high yesterday was 74.99, a key level to be watched. The 73.84*** level was our key level to watch yesterday and we settled below there – this could dent momentum and signal a more sideways trade this week. This morning’s early strength may be faded into the U.S. open, as has been the trend over the past couple months.

For today, our levels are set at….

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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