Bill Baruch
President & Founder
Bill Baruch
President & Founder, Blue Line FuturesBill Baruch is the founder and President of Blue Line Futures. He is also the founder and CIO of Blue Line Capital, an investment advisor, and Blue Creek Capital Management, a commodity trading advisor, located in Chicago, IL. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader, and manager. He began his career as an investment banking analyst but quickly transitioned to the fast-paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He started as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global, and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took on the role of Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER, before launching Blue Line Futures in 2017, Blue Line Capital in 2019, and Blue Creek Capital Management in 2020.
To visit Blue Line Capital: https://www.bluelinecapitalwealth.com
To visit Blue Creek Capital Management: https://www.bluecreek.capital
Get in touch with Bill:
Office: 312-796-8497
Email: bill@bluelinefutures.com
Linkedin: linkedin.com/in/bill-baruch-3327b45a/
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Stocks Look to Rebound After Broad Market Rout
Stocks Look to Rebound After Broad Market Rout E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6677.50, down 102.00 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 24,560.00, down 423.50 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures were down sharply ahead of yesterday’s opening bell and simply could not gain any traction.…
Futures Slide as Oil Spike and Iran Escalation Rattle Markets
Futures Slide as Oil Spike and Iran Escalation Rattle Markets https://youtu.be/PwyB76g_9HM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X),…
Futures Whipsaw on Hormuz Headlines as CPI Looms
Bill bought more ORCL ahead of earnings. Catch his latest moves and thoughts from CNBC yesterday. Watch Here! E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6787.25, down 13.75 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 24,982.50, down 8.50 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures swung wildly yesterday. After levitating through the…
Tech Rebounds Hard, but Today’s Follow Through Is Key
https://youtube.com/shorts/Z9TKPDohqQo?si=7h5j-7W0E-R_o2TS Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Swings 39% in Historic Session as War Headlines Whipsaw Oil
Crude Swings 39% in Historic Session as War Headlines Whipsaw Oil A historic day in Crude yesterday with unprecedented volatility. The May contract made highs of 113.41, +25.89 [+30%] before falling to lows of 79.00 [-9.73%]. This comes out to a whopping trading range of 34.41 or 39% of Friday’s close. That’s insane. Crude was…
Oil Explodes Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Shutdown Shocks Markets
Oil Explodes Above $100 as Strait of Hormuz Shutdown Shocks Markets ***long term continuous 2nd line futures shown in chart above Crude futures gapped higher on the Sunday open with May futures Crude futures opening at 98.00 and making highs at 119.48, +28.58 higher than Friday’s close. The U.S. & Israel’s failure to secure…
Crude Breaks Higher as Strait of Hormuz Risk Builds — Is $100 Oil Next?
Crude Breaks Higher as Strait of Hormuz Risk Builds — Is $100 Oil Next? After falling in the early hours of the overnight session, Crude has bounced back and punched above the highs. As week 1 of this war comes to a close, Iran maintains their ability to retaliate. The strikes on neighboring countries,…
Crude Surges as Tanker Attacks Escalate and Supply Risks Mount
Crude Surges as Tanker Attacks Escalate and Supply Risks Mount ***Long run weekly shown above Spreading of the conflict is driving prices higher today as nine more oil tankers came under attack overnight / early this morning. BP evacuated staff from Iraqi oil fields and the country overall has cut ~1.3mln bpd of production. The…
Overnight Selling Deepens as Inflation Fears Build
Overnight Selling Deepens as Inflation Fears Build Yesterday’s catalyst was the breaking news that insurance for tankers passing through the Strait would not be available. Tanker rates soared and global trade flows came to a halt. May futures drove to highs of 76.75, +6.00 from Monday’s settlement. Early in the afternoon, President Trump announced that the US…
Oil Breaks Higher as Iran Targets Regional Energy Assets
Oil Breaks Higher as Iran Targets Regional Energy Assets **Daily chart shown above is a front-month continuous as May futures no longer contain applicable levels The war is expanding rapidly. While US strikes on Iran have been our bull thesis for close to two months, Iran’s response to attack neighboring oil and gas infrastructure is…
Oil Surges Above $70 as Iran Conflict Expands
Oil Surges Above $70 as Iran Conflict Expands **Daily chart shown above is a front-month continuous as May futures no longer contain applicable levels For the last (nearly) two months, our bull thesis has been based on US military strikes on Iran. With our catalyst realized, we have taken profits on our remaining long positioning.…
NVDA Post-Earnings Selloff Slams Futures Back to Support
NVDA Post-Earnings Selloff Slams Futures Back to Support https://youtu.be/1AQjaqHxd60 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close,…
Oil Turns Bearish as OPEC+ Hike Rumors Build
Yesterday we shifted our tone bearish due to the OPEC+ meeting and the lack of movement on the Iran situation. While Iran military action still presents a tremendous upside catalyst, “deadlines” have come and gone without action. By the end of this week OPEC+ will meet this weekend to discuss April supply plans. It is likely…
Markets Snap Higher as NVDA Beats & Raises Guidance
Markets Snap Higher as NVDA Beats & Raises Guidance https://youtu.be/SuOqA8McV0A Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Follow Bill at @Bill_Baruch to catch his daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after…
Oil Rallies on Iran Risk as OPEC+ Supply Decision Looms
Oil Rallies on Iran Risk as OPEC+ Supply Decision Looms OPEC+ will meet this weekend to discuss April supply plans. It is likely that the group will continue with the (now paused) hiking plan. The hike plan was paused to account for normal seasonal weakness from Dec – March. With the supply hikes coming back…
S&P Futures Face Make-or-Break Test at 6931 Ahead of NVDA
S&P Futures Face Make-or-Break Test at 6931 Ahead of NVDA E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6903.75, up 52.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,028.75, up 266.00 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures snapped back from a tough start to the week, led by software (+1.9%),…
Silver ETF Buying Spree Surges as Copper hits $6 on Chinese Restocking!
Silver sees increased ETF inflows as copper tests $6 amid signs of Chinese restocking, with Phil Streible breaking down the market reaction on Metals Minute. Tune in.
S&P Rejected at 6930 Again — Key Support Now in Focus
S&P Rejected at 6930 Again — Key Support Now in Focus https://youtu.be/oOsbf2JZWFM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram…
S&P Tests Major Resistance as Tariff Shock Lifts Sentiment
S&P Tests Major Resistance as Tariff Shock Lifts Sentiment https://youtu.be/8aSXGAbVoQU Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the…
Crude Oil Stalls Near 66 as Iran Talks Hit Pause
Crude Oil Stalls Near 66 as Iran Talks Hit Pause President Trump has put the ball in Iran’s court on negotiations, and talks are seemingly at a standstill. Yesterday’s EIA report was notably bullish but numbers remain skewed due to freezing temperatures and some large one-off flows. We would be cautious about adding new longs…
S&P Futures Slip as Hot PCE and Soft GDP Rattle Markets
https://youtu.be/TSZL3_uxtNo Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. Bill Baruch is back…
Crude Oil Rallies Toward $66 as Iran Tensions Escalate
Crude Oil Rallies Toward $66 as Iran Tensions Escalate Prices are rallying back to local highs near 66.04*** as Iranian talks face roadblocks. Threatening remarks from Iran’s Supreme Leader are driving prices higher. While we still maintain a bullish tilt, this is not a bad place to take profits. We maintain the stance that Iran…
Risk-On Rotation Builds, But Support Now Critical
Risk-On Rotation Builds, But Support Now Critical https://youtu.be/XWxuL322y28 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close,…
Crude Swings as Iran Talks Ease, Then Revive Risk
Prices retreated yesterday after talks between Iran and the US reportedly went well. Prices fell as traders reassessed risks of a wider conflict and a closure to the Strait of Hormuz. Today, prices are higher as officials clarified that talks have been successful in “laying out the guiding principles” for ongoing talks, and that any…
Hormuz Disruption Lifts Oil as Conflict Risk Builds
Price is higher today as Iran partially shuts the Strait of Hormuz heading into nuclear talks. Direct conflict or an attempted full closure of the strait is looming. We still see price as being skewed to the upside. Weekly Technical History: Monday – Risk remains skewed to the upside and our 62.57*** level has held…
Tech Weakness Pressures S&P and NQ Into Key Support
Tech Weakness Pressures S&P and NQ Into Key Support E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6850.50, down 0.50 on Friday and 102.25 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 24,803.25, up 35.25 on Friday and down 360.00 on the week E-mini S&P and…
Broad Liquidation Sends S&P and NQ Into Key Support
Broad Liquidation Sends S&P and NQ Into Key Support E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6851.00, down 109.50 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 24,768.00, down 520.50 Markets broadly deleveraged yesterday; E-mini S&P futures were down 1.5%, and E-mini NQ futures were down 2.0%; Gold, Silver, Copper, and…
Macro Bloodbath Meets Crude Inflection
***ROLL TO MAY FUTURES – FINAL DAY OF MARCH ANALYSIS It was a macro bloodbath yesterday as tech and credit markets continue to unwind massive bets. The credit and software sectors are imploding; throwing a wrench in the macro backdrop. in the macro space, we also have: an expanding yield curve, strengthening inflation, and…
Risk Assets Reverse After NFP as Crude Holds Its Bid
Yesterday’s NFP payrolls figure sparked a sharp reversal in risk-assets by mid-morning. Equities had shown outsized strength into, and through the release but ended the day lower. Treasuries posted similar price action, with longer term bonds posting a pump-fake break out before setting lower. Rate cut expectations through 2026 were paired back. Negotiations with Iran…
Jobs Beat Fails to Flip the Tape
https://youtu.be/iKonzT-CEAI Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Markets Pause Ahead of Payrolls
https://youtu.be/GS0Uri989I4 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Eyes Upside as Hormuz Risk Builds
Crude Eyes Upside as Hormuz Risk Builds Crude prices rallied yesterday after the US advised ships to avoid the Strait of Hormuz. Geopolitical risk continues to be the main driver of markets. Gasoline and diesel cracks have reached two month highs, and we saw record call option volume in Brent Crude yesterday. Significant Dollar weakness…
Tech Leads the Rebound as Markets Test a Crossroads
Tech Leads the Rebound as Markets Test a Crossroads https://youtu.be/_TBkKw0Fgs0 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn,…
Iran “Talks” Fail to Cool a Rapidly Escalating Situation
Iran “Talks” Fail to Cool a Rapidly Escalating Situation Crude ended lower yesterday after “talks” with Iran were agreed to. These talks happened this morning, with both sides refusing to sit in the same room together Oman mediated in a game of telephone. Military tensions continued to ramp yesterday as US airpower widened out sweeps and…
Amazon Shock Sends S&P and NQ to Session Lows
Amazon Shock Sends S&P and NQ to Session Lows https://youtu.be/h3LR_WY9zAU Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn,…
Tech Cracks Again as Sellers Press the Advantage
https://youtu.be/DLX08sIeQnM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Software Slump Pressures Indices at Range Highs
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6038.50, up 51.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 21,956.00, down 212.25 The Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting at 1:00 pm CT. Although they are not expected to cut rates, the committee’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections will be closely watched, which includes…
Geopolitical Risk Builds as Crude Holds Support
Geopolitical Risk Builds as Crude Holds Support There were multiple military flare-ups yesterday between Iran and the United States. We will repeat our note from yesterday regarding the positive tone around Iran and US diplomatic talks (driver of the downwards move Sunday night into Monday) – take all of this positivity as a grain of…
Crude Slips on Iran Diplomacy Headlines as Futures Hover Near Key Support
Crude Oil futures are lower again this morning as president Trump continues to favor, at least publicly, for diplomacy with Iranian leadership. Overnight, Iranian leadership signaled they were willing to halt certain nuclear activities. I would be very weary on taking either side seriously right now. In my view there is still a high…
Market Pushes Higher After Clearing Resistance
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 7002.50, up 36.75 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,850.00, up 180.00 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures quickly shook off Sunday night’s weakness and raced higher at the opening bell. Participation was broad, led by industrials, staples, and financials. Tech…
Dollar Surge Pressures Risk as Indices Test Key Resistance Into a Big Data Week
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6965.75, down 27.00 on Friday and up 20.00 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 25,670.00, down 329.25 on Friday and 68.25 on the week There was a lot to unpack last week. The Federal Reserve left…
Volatility Swings as Software Slumps and Warsh Nomination Sets a Line in the Sand
Volatility Swings as Software Slumps and Warsh Nomination Sets a Line in the Sand https://youtu.be/v-at0XNxZMM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted…
Fed Holds Steady as Index Futures Consolidate Near Highs Ahead of Earnings
Fed Holds Steady as Index Futures Consolidate Near Highs Ahead of Earnings https://youtu.be/MHueb4yLZeE Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his…
Tech Breakout Lifts NQ as S&P Presses Into Record Territory
https://youtu.be/HXo8QaoRNgY Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. E-mini…
Tech Leads the Charge as Futures Reclaim Bullish Ground
https://youtu.be/06HQM8um_Kg Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Gap Lower Erased as Markets Brace for Fed and Mega Cap Earnings
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6945.75, up 0.75 on Friday and down 31.00 on the week NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,738.25, up 80.00 on Friday and 49.25 on the week E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures gapped lower on the open last night amid…
Crude Pulls Back From Overnight Highs as Macro Pressures Build
Crude Oil rallied on the overnight session, reaching highs of 61.71 before falling back towards the overnight average price around 61.08. As we head into the US session oil is trading down on the day, crossing that 61.08 line with conviction around 5am. Headlines around the CPC terminal we mentioned last week are filtering through…
Risk Assets Reprice as Macro Volatility Leads the Tape
Macro Note: The macro price action we saw across risk-assets yesterday is notable. On Wednesday we saw sharp reversions in US equities, a strong rally in the Dollar, a fall in Crude, and a fall in Gold / Silver after President Trump clarified that we will not be “invading” Greenland. Follow through on that reversion trade was…
Rebound Continues, but Indices Struggle to Clear Resistance
https://youtu.be/6dH2UqQdj9k Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
This Time Is Different: What Gold’s Runaway Freight Train Means for Commodities
Bill Baruch joins AgriTalk to explain why gold and silver strength is more than a short-term move. He outlines the long-term forces behind the rally, including central bank buying, fiscal policy pressures, and what it could signal for the broader commodity landscape.
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