Bill Baruch
President & Founder
Bill Baruch
President & Founder, Blue Line FuturesBill Baruch is the founder and President of Blue Line Futures. He is also the founder and CIO of Blue Line Capital, an investment advisor, and Blue Creek Capital Management, a commodity trading advisor, located in Chicago, IL. Bill has extensive experience in the financial industry as an advisor, trader, and manager. He began his career as an investment banking analyst but quickly transitioned to the fast-paced world of commodity trading in 2007. He started as a Market Strategist at Lind Waldock’s Chicago Board of Trade office. Lind Waldock was purchased by MF Global, and he began running his own trade desk there in 2009. In 2011, he took on the role of Chief Market Strategist at iiTRADER, before launching Blue Line Futures in 2017, Blue Line Capital in 2019, and Blue Creek Capital Management in 2020.
To visit Blue Line Capital: https://www.bluelinecapitalwealth.com
To visit Blue Creek Capital Management: https://www.bluecreek.capital
Get in touch with Bill:
Office: 312-796-8497
Email: bill@bluelinefutures.com
Linkedin: linkedin.com/in/bill-baruch-3327b45a/
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Crude Oil Stalls Near 66 as Iran Talks Hit Pause
Crude Oil Stalls Near 66 as Iran Talks Hit Pause President Trump has put the ball in Iran’s court on negotiations, and talks are seemingly at a standstill. Yesterday’s EIA report was notably bullish but numbers remain skewed due to freezing temperatures and some large one-off flows. We would be cautious about adding new longs…
S&P Futures Slip as Hot PCE and Soft GDP Rattle Markets
https://youtu.be/TSZL3_uxtNo Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. Bill Baruch is back…
Crude Oil Rallies Toward $66 as Iran Tensions Escalate
Crude Oil Rallies Toward $66 as Iran Tensions Escalate Prices are rallying back to local highs near 66.04*** as Iranian talks face roadblocks. Threatening remarks from Iran’s Supreme Leader are driving prices higher. While we still maintain a bullish tilt, this is not a bad place to take profits. We maintain the stance that Iran…
Risk-On Rotation Builds, But Support Now Critical
Risk-On Rotation Builds, But Support Now Critical https://youtu.be/XWxuL322y28 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch breaking down the day’s swings, rotations, and leaders. Gain insightful analysis to help you with your game plan and decision-making process. Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close,…
Crude Swings as Iran Talks Ease, Then Revive Risk
Prices retreated yesterday after talks between Iran and the US reportedly went well. Prices fell as traders reassessed risks of a wider conflict and a closure to the Strait of Hormuz. Today, prices are higher as officials clarified that talks have been successful in “laying out the guiding principles” for ongoing talks, and that any…
Hormuz Disruption Lifts Oil as Conflict Risk Builds
Price is higher today as Iran partially shuts the Strait of Hormuz heading into nuclear talks. Direct conflict or an attempted full closure of the strait is looming. We still see price as being skewed to the upside. Weekly Technical History: Monday – Risk remains skewed to the upside and our 62.57*** level has held…
Tech Weakness Pressures S&P and NQ Into Key Support
Tech Weakness Pressures S&P and NQ Into Key Support E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6850.50, down 0.50 on Friday and 102.25 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 24,803.25, up 35.25 on Friday and down 360.00 on the week E-mini S&P and…
Broad Liquidation Sends S&P and NQ Into Key Support
Broad Liquidation Sends S&P and NQ Into Key Support E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6851.00, down 109.50 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 24,768.00, down 520.50 Markets broadly deleveraged yesterday; E-mini S&P futures were down 1.5%, and E-mini NQ futures were down 2.0%; Gold, Silver, Copper, and…
Macro Bloodbath Meets Crude Inflection
***ROLL TO MAY FUTURES – FINAL DAY OF MARCH ANALYSIS It was a macro bloodbath yesterday as tech and credit markets continue to unwind massive bets. The credit and software sectors are imploding; throwing a wrench in the macro backdrop. in the macro space, we also have: an expanding yield curve, strengthening inflation, and…
Risk Assets Reverse After NFP as Crude Holds Its Bid
Yesterday’s NFP payrolls figure sparked a sharp reversal in risk-assets by mid-morning. Equities had shown outsized strength into, and through the release but ended the day lower. Treasuries posted similar price action, with longer term bonds posting a pump-fake break out before setting lower. Rate cut expectations through 2026 were paired back. Negotiations with Iran…
Jobs Beat Fails to Flip the Tape
https://youtu.be/iKonzT-CEAI Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Markets Pause Ahead of Payrolls
https://youtu.be/GS0Uri989I4 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Eyes Upside as Hormuz Risk Builds
Crude Eyes Upside as Hormuz Risk Builds Crude prices rallied yesterday after the US advised ships to avoid the Strait of Hormuz. Geopolitical risk continues to be the main driver of markets. Gasoline and diesel cracks have reached two month highs, and we saw record call option volume in Brent Crude yesterday. Significant Dollar weakness…
Tech Leads the Rebound as Markets Test a Crossroads
Tech Leads the Rebound as Markets Test a Crossroads https://youtu.be/_TBkKw0Fgs0 Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn,…
Iran “Talks” Fail to Cool a Rapidly Escalating Situation
Iran “Talks” Fail to Cool a Rapidly Escalating Situation Crude ended lower yesterday after “talks” with Iran were agreed to. These talks happened this morning, with both sides refusing to sit in the same room together Oman mediated in a game of telephone. Military tensions continued to ramp yesterday as US airpower widened out sweeps and…
Amazon Shock Sends S&P and NQ to Session Lows
Amazon Shock Sends S&P and NQ to Session Lows https://youtu.be/h3LR_WY9zAU Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn,…
Tech Cracks Again as Sellers Press the Advantage
https://youtu.be/DLX08sIeQnM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Software Slump Pressures Indices at Range Highs
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6038.50, up 51.25 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 21,956.00, down 212.25 The Federal Reserve concludes its policy meeting at 1:00 pm CT. Although they are not expected to cut rates, the committee’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections will be closely watched, which includes…
Geopolitical Risk Builds as Crude Holds Support
Geopolitical Risk Builds as Crude Holds Support There were multiple military flare-ups yesterday between Iran and the United States. We will repeat our note from yesterday regarding the positive tone around Iran and US diplomatic talks (driver of the downwards move Sunday night into Monday) – take all of this positivity as a grain of…
Crude Slips on Iran Diplomacy Headlines as Futures Hover Near Key Support
Crude Oil futures are lower again this morning as president Trump continues to favor, at least publicly, for diplomacy with Iranian leadership. Overnight, Iranian leadership signaled they were willing to halt certain nuclear activities. I would be very weary on taking either side seriously right now. In my view there is still a high…
Market Pushes Higher After Clearing Resistance
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 7002.50, up 36.75 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,850.00, up 180.00 E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures quickly shook off Sunday night’s weakness and raced higher at the opening bell. Participation was broad, led by industrials, staples, and financials. Tech…
Dollar Surge Pressures Risk as Indices Test Key Resistance Into a Big Data Week
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6965.75, down 27.00 on Friday and up 20.00 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 25,670.00, down 329.25 on Friday and 68.25 on the week There was a lot to unpack last week. The Federal Reserve left…
Volatility Swings as Software Slumps and Warsh Nomination Sets a Line in the Sand
Volatility Swings as Software Slumps and Warsh Nomination Sets a Line in the Sand https://youtu.be/v-at0XNxZMM Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted…
Fed Holds Steady as Index Futures Consolidate Near Highs Ahead of Earnings
Fed Holds Steady as Index Futures Consolidate Near Highs Ahead of Earnings https://youtu.be/MHueb4yLZeE Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his…
Tech Breakout Lifts NQ as S&P Presses Into Record Territory
https://youtu.be/HXo8QaoRNgY Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. E-mini…
Tech Leads the Charge as Futures Reclaim Bullish Ground
https://youtu.be/06HQM8um_Kg Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Gap Lower Erased as Markets Brace for Fed and Mega Cap Earnings
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6945.75, up 0.75 on Friday and down 31.00 on the week NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,738.25, up 80.00 on Friday and 49.25 on the week E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures gapped lower on the open last night amid…
Crude Pulls Back From Overnight Highs as Macro Pressures Build
Crude Oil rallied on the overnight session, reaching highs of 61.71 before falling back towards the overnight average price around 61.08. As we head into the US session oil is trading down on the day, crossing that 61.08 line with conviction around 5am. Headlines around the CPC terminal we mentioned last week are filtering through…
Risk Assets Reprice as Macro Volatility Leads the Tape
Macro Note: The macro price action we saw across risk-assets yesterday is notable. On Wednesday we saw sharp reversions in US equities, a strong rally in the Dollar, a fall in Crude, and a fall in Gold / Silver after President Trump clarified that we will not be “invading” Greenland. Follow through on that reversion trade was…
Rebound Continues, but Indices Struggle to Clear Resistance
https://youtu.be/6dH2UqQdj9k Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
This Time Is Different: What Gold’s Runaway Freight Train Means for Commodities
Bill Baruch joins AgriTalk to explain why gold and silver strength is more than a short-term move. He outlines the long-term forces behind the rally, including central bank buying, fiscal policy pressures, and what it could signal for the broader commodity landscape.
S&P, NQ Surge Back Into Resistance as Bullish Momentum Builds
https://youtu.be/yu-UhGCK7-o Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Pulls Back as Greenland Rhetoric Cools and CPC Repairs Near Completion
Crude oil is lower this morning after President Trump walked back the idea of taking Greenland by force later in the session yesterday. Markets had built up some inflation / deflationary risk has Trump upped the stakes on Greenland over the past week. US ten year yields rose to 4.2925%, the highest level since August…
Freeze Fuels Crude Breakout as Prices Press Higher
The US freeze is pressuring prices this morning. Parts of the freeze hitting Texas will likely slow down or shut off production. Outside of the short term US supply squeeze, geopolitical risk and the US at war with everyone is pressuring oil prices and the Dollar. Technical Analysis: We have an intraday breakout…
Tariff Shock and Global Bond Turmoil Pressure Index Futures to Fresh Lows
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6976.75, down 5.00 on Friday and 28.25 on the week NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,689.00, down 16.75 on Friday and 249.25 on the week Saturday morning, President Trump posted on Truth Social that he will impose a 10%…
Tech Leads the Charge as S&P Presses Key Breakout Zone
https://youtu.be/a090H1cq2Fk Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
TSMC Sparks Tech Bounce as S&P Reclaims 7000 Test
https://youtu.be/M4d3JIVnRYQ Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
CPI Cools, But China Chip News Pressures Indices
https://youtu.be/fDCeXuvIKkY Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Indices Press Record Highs Ahead of CPI
https://youtu.be/5Szj6wz7R7k Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Risk-Off Opens the Week After Record Highs
Risk-Off Opens the Week After Record Highs E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 7005.00, up 43.00 on Friday and 104.50 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 25,938.25, up 250.75 on Friday and 553.00 on the week E-mini S&P futures tapped a fresh…
Cyclicals Lead as Tech Lags Ahead of Jobs Report and Tariff Ruling
https://youtu.be/jVLnkhDL2js Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Drifts Higher as Geopolitical Risk Offsets Weak Cash Markets
Crude Oil is drifting higher this morning as geopolitical risk and OPEC+ production growth slowing are helping to lift contracts. December production figures came in flat MoM from OPEC. Venezuelan production dropped 14% to 830k bpd, with the overall group reporting 29,000k bpd. Venezuela’s sharp decline was offset by increases in Iraq. Cash crude is very…
E-mini S&P Probes 7000 Before Reverting Amid Policy Headlines
https://youtu.be/Y-oVUwjrTcc Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Crude Whipsaws on Venezuela Headlines as Volatility Surges
Crude Oil finished lower yesterday after reaching the 50-Day moving average, prompting some profit-taking. Later in the day, President Trump tweeted regarding “Venezuela turning over 30-50 million barrels of high-quality oil,” triggering a wave of fear selling. Headline-driven moves can be useful in pushing prices away from fundamental equilibrium, but when they also trigger systematic/technical…
Fresh Record Close, but Breakout Needs Broader Tech Participation
https://youtu.be/Ext7heiG-5w Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Financials Lead Early-Week Strength as Indices Consolidate Near Highs
https://youtu.be/b6RQzP5F9tI Tune in daily to catch Bill Baruch dissecting the day’s market happenings after the bell rings. Gain insightful analysis and stay ahead in the financial game with Bill as your guide! Do not miss Bill Baruch’s daily video posted to his Twitter (X), LinkedIn, and Instagram after the close, follow him at @Bill_Baruch. …
Futures Stabilize as Volume Returns Heading Into the New Year
E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March) S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 6900.50, up 8.00 on Friday and down 78.75 on the week NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 25,385.25, down 71.59 on Friday and 478.00 on the week E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures are pointing higher ahead of the…
Crude Reacts to Venezuela Shock as China Becomes the Key Risk Variable
US Special Forces moved to strike in Venezuela on Saturday in a blitz that left much of the world stunned. I had written a few weeks ago that a full-scale invasion of Venezuela seemed unlikely. I never once considered a late night Snatch-and-Grab of Maduro was a possibility. It was pretty shocking move, but fairly…
Crude Sells Off as Russia–Ukraine Peace Hopes Reduce War Premium
Futures are sharply lower today on a reduction in war-premium (Russia – Ukraine). This weekend, President Zelensky is scheduled to meet with President Trump to discuss a 20-Point Peace Plan to end the war. The meeting has caused selling into the weekend as traders brace for optimistic headlines on an ending of the war. We…
S&P Futures Push Higher as Key Resistance Turns to Support
E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June) S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6982.50, up 21.50 NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 25,880.50, up 68.25 E-mini S&P futures gained ground on the Christmas Eve holiday session, with broad sector leadership. The best-performing were staples and then utilities, but financials, healthcare, and industrials were not far…
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