Matthew Bresnahan

Senior Market Strategist


Chris Chavez
Matthew Bresnahan
Senior Market Strategist

Matthew Bresnahan is a Senior Market Strategist at Blue Line Futures, where he brings a sharp, risk-first lens to the fast-moving world of commodity trading. He launched his career at Trilateral Inc. in 2018, diving into the high-stakes realm of ingredient procurement and commodity price risk management for food manufacturers navigating volatile agricultural, livestock, and softs markets.

Matthew’s hands-on experience managing risk for commercial end-users gave him an edge when he joined Blue Line Futures in 2022. There, he blends fundamental insights with technical analysis to identify market risks and opportunities for a diverse range of clients — from farmers and merchandisers to processors and speculators.

His approach to navigating grain markets earned widespread attention in 2023, when his article ā€œThree Pillars of Grain Tradingā€ became the most-read feature in Grain Journal. Whether he’s consulting with producers or watching global supply chain shocks unfold in real time, Matthew remains focused on one thing: helping clients make smarter, more strategic decisions in the commodity futures arena.


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See Matthew’s market content below:

Technical softening in corn, and a rangebound cattle market

Media Technical softening in corn, and a rangebound cattle market Matt Bresnahan senior market strategist discusses the small technical breakdown in the December corn contract and looks at the rangebound trade across the cattle complex. Ā  https://youtu.be/wrnebszHVMw Enjoy the benefits of Blue Line Futures Open an account with Blue Line Futures and you will gain…

September WASDE Preview

Enjoy the benefits of Blue Line Futures Open an account with Blue Line Futures and you will gain access to our daily commodity commentary, free desktop/mobile trading platforms, 24-hour trade desk, and more! Click here September WASDE Preview Last month, the USDA dramatically increased U.S. corn yield and production estimates while curtailing soybean planted area.…

Talkin’ Techincals in Grains

Talkin’ Techincals in Grains Ā  The technical landscape for grain markets has shifted materially over the last two weeks. Corn’s defense of a key moving average, and bullish divergence in wheat are setting the landscape for moves similar to what we saw in 2024. Talkin’ Technicals There was a material change in the technical landscape…

Crop Progress Report Update 7.28.25

CROP PROGRESS REPORTĀ  7.28.25 Ā  Soybean conditions improve more than expected to 5-year best 70% Good-to-Excellent. Corn conditions slide 1% in line with traders’ expectations. Corn Ā Corn conditions were down 1% from last week, in line with average trade estimates, coming in at 73% Good-to-Excellent. This compares to 59% GE for the same week last…

The Weekly Grain Rotation

Media The Weekly Grain Rotation This week’s grain market action was anything but quiet (unlike Acreage & Stocks). From shifting momentum in September corn to capital flow signals flashing across the soy complex, we break down the price structure, trends, and relative strength driving the week’s biggest moves. Using top-down analysis and money flow metrics,…

crop progress report

CROP PROGRESS REPORTĀ  6.23.25 Corn:Ā Corn conditions came in lower than last week and lower than pre-report estimates. Conditions are now nearly identical to those of last year for the same week. The extreme heat across the Western and Central Corn Belt is the likely culprit behind the quality curtailments. Poor-to-Very poor conditionsĀ cropped up for the…

Momentum & Money Flow

Media Momentum & Money Flow Introducing the Momentum & Money Flow – a series taking a top-down approach to commodity markets to chart the pulse of the futures markets through trend, rotation, and conviction. We’ll answer the “Why” behind capital rotations and macro flow – one chart at a timeĀ  Ā  https://youtu.be/HK-EZa64TkY Enjoy the benefits…

Updated Crop Progress and Yield Projection Estimates

Corn:Ā  Corn conditions were in line with pre-report estimates,Ā last year’s conditions, and a rollingĀ 5-year average for the third week of reporting. Good-to-Excellent ratings across the I-states are high, with Iowa leading at 84%. Moisture accumulation in Southern Illinois and Southern Indiana are of moderate concern, but ratings have yet to reflect any potential damages.Ā Ā  Soybeans:…

Markets Were on the Move in Thursday’s Trade

Media Markets Were on the Move in Thursday’s Trade Markets were relatively quiet in Wednesday’s trade, but some range expansion was seen on Thursday in a few different markets. Ā Here’s what caught our eye in equities, energies, ags, and metals! Ā  https://youtu.be/9eU9eb7IRUU Enjoy the benefits of Blue Line Futures Open an account with Blue Line…

Midweek Markets Were Mostly Mixed

Media Midweek Markets Were Mostly Mixed It was a mixed bag across assets in Wednesday’s trade with equities relatively quiet while some commodities saw more movement. Here’s what caught our eye in today’s trade. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4D0cvsQddXg Uncover overnight developments and get expert analysis on what to watch for each trading day. When you sign up, you’ll…

Today’s Markets on the Move: Silver, Orange Juice, Cocoa, and More!

Media Today’s Markets on the Move: Silver, Orange Juice, Cocoa, and More! Silver futures failed to breakout above resistance as the tax bill passing possess a threat to industrial demand. Today’s winner and loser both come from the “softs”. Ag Markets brace for a long weekend with equity markets recovering some of yesterday’s late day…

February WASDE Recap

February WASDE Recap Front-month grain futures closed lower following Tuesday’s relatively non-exciting WASDE report. However, when looking under the hood, grain bulls can get excited about a few anecdotes. Global corn ending stocks were reported at multi-year lows, and South American production estimates for corn and soybeans were lowered. Lastly, the domestic wheat balance sheet…

Weekly Grain Market Recap 

Weekly Grain Market Recap  Tariff threats on Canada and Mexico weigh on corn and soybeans while wheat shows potential for a breakout. Check out our Ag Market Update & South American WeatherOutlook with Empire Weather!  Looming tariff threats erased early-week gains across the grain markets this week. Early Friday, Reuters falsely reported that tariffs on…

Weekly Grain Market Recap

Weekly Grain Market Recap Corn, soybean, and wheat futures had a volatile week between China’s rejection of Brazilian soy imports due to phytosanitary concerns to Argentina’s move to bolster export sales. By: Matthew Bresnahan Grain markets closed higher for the third week in a row despite some bearish headlines late in the week. News broke…

WASDE Report Recap

Making sense of the numbers from today’s WASDE and Export Sales reports. Today’s WASDE report was largely a non-event for the grain markets. Few material changes were made to domestic or global balance sheets, and today’s price action was largely reflective of that. In spite of the recent dryness across the corn belt, USDA remains…

Brazilian Crop Production Preview

Taking a dive into some of the historical production trends in Brazil in lieu of weather concerns for the upcoming soybean planting season. Brazil Crop Production Preview The calendar turning over to September marks the beginning of the planting season for first-crop corn and soybeans in Brazil, and the end of second-crop corn harvest. Trendline…

2-Minute Drill May Corn Futures – Deep Dive Ahead of WASDE

In today’s 2 minute drill, we zoom in on the monthly chart of May corn futures. We saw a nice pop off of the contract lows in late February, but have been stuck in a 10 1/2 cent range since then. We zoom out to a 5 year chart to contextualize where we’re at for…

Descending Wedge & Bullish Divergence on March Soybeans – Upside Breakout in Store?

Fundamental Outlook: There’s no beating around the bush – the fundamental outlook for soybeans is bearish.Global ending stocks are now at all time highs per the last WASDE report, and export demandfor U.S. soybeans has slowed considerably – currently down around 19% year-over-year. AsSouth American harvest progresses, the outlook of the Brazilian soybean crop has…

Looming Correction in April Live Cattle?

Live Cattle futures have enjoyed a tremendous rally over the last 3 weeks – up nearly $10 since just the beginning of February. But is the rally showing fatigue? Prices are beginning to stall out near the 61.8% retracement of the all-time-highs in October to the lows in late December.

2 Minute Drill: Looming Correction for April Live Cattle? February BTC Rally!

April Live Cattle Futures have enjoyed a tremendous rally over the last two weeks – gaining more than $10. But, with the contract entering overbought territory, and hovering near the 61.8% retracement of the October highs, a correction may be in store. Meanwhile, BTC futures continue charging higher and are likely going to test the…

2 Minute Drill on Corn & Cotton Futures

Matthew Bresnan analyzes March corn and May cotton markets, highlighting potential for a corn rally due to bullish divergence and a strong upward trend in cotton, with upcoming USDA reports poised to impact both commodities. Grain and Livestock Market Recap It was another tough day for the grain corn and soybean Bulls, while wheat Bulls…

Potential for a Reversal: Is a Short-Covering Rally Brewing in March Corn Futures?

There’s no beating around the bush – the fundamentals for corn remain bearish ahead of Thursday’s USDA report. Last month, USDA caught many by surprise revising ā€˜23 corn yields to record-highs of 177.3 bushels per acre. Since then, corn futures have continuously grinded lower. But, could a short-covering rally be in the offing soon?

Head & Shoulders in Aussie Dollar Futures

Australian dollar futures have pulled back to the neckline of the recent head and shoulders pattern, which presents bears with a formidable selling opportunity.

Dollar Index Skyrockets Amid Hot Jobs Report, Silver Sinks

Today’s hot jobs report propelled the dollar Index to new heights, showcasing a bullish key reversal and engulfing pattern, indicating strong market momentum. Meanwhile, March silver faced pressure, inversely reacting to the dollar’s rally, with technical analysis suggesting potential support levels amidst market fluctuations.

Incoming Correction for Live Cattle Futures?

Technical Outlook:  Live cattle futures have enjoyed a tremendous recovery following the breakdown observed in Q4 of 2023, but is the rally due for a correction? Last Friday’s price action saw April Live Cattle Futures break back above the 50% retracement from the late October highs, and also breach into overbought territory on the standard…

Is the Bottom in for Beans?

Tuesday’s price action brought a key reversal, and bullish engulfing pattern on March soybeans. Further evidence that we could be approaching a bottom is the bullish divergence present between the two most recent lows and the standard 14-day RSI.

2-Minute Drill: Soybeans and Copper

Matt analyzes bullish engulfing patterns in March soybeans and copper, highlighting key psychological levels and technical indicators that suggest a potential rally in grain markets and a continuation in copper’s upward trend. Grain futures were uniformly green today, for the first time in what seems like a lifetime.  At the close March corn was 7…

Weekly Grain Market Recap:

The grain markets were lower again this week in spite of ample short-covering, and a strong start to the week. Thursday’s export sales report put bears back into the driver’s seat with soybean sales failing to reach the bottom end of the trade’s expected range. Unsurprisingly, corn, soybeans, and wheat all sold off sharply after…

A Grain Market Rollercoaster

It was a rollercoaster of emotions (and prices) this week for grain markets. Market strategist, Matthew Bresnahan, breaks it all down in this weeks recap and 2-Minute Drill. April Crude Oil in store for a breakout to the upside? March soybeans clinging to critical support. Matthew Bresnahan, Market Strategist    Weekly Grain Market Recap:  It’s…

Grain Market Recap

Matthew Bresnahan, Market Strategist Ā  Ā  [Auto Transcription] “Good afternoon Traders, this is Matthew Bresnahan with Blue Line Futures coming to you from the Chicago Board of Trade with this week’s grain market recap. Before we jump into today’s price action, we’re going to review some of the key figures and big surprises that we…

2-Minute Drill ā± Wheat and Bitcoin Futures

We are going to be looking at March Wheat and Bitcoin Futures. So let’s dive in and get this clock rolling! Matthew Bresnahan, Market Strategist    Daily Grain and Livestock Market Recap Corn Corn futures snuck out a second consecutive higher close, albeit it was only by ¼ of a cent.Ā  New crop corn futures…

Is Bitcoin Primed For A Pullback?

The rally in Bitcoin futures has been impressive. But, without question, the rally is showing signs of fatigue. So the question is – are we gearing up for a pullback?Ā 

Soybeans Getting Crushed – Will We Make New Lows?

Soybean futures are off to a rough start in 2024. In the first week of trading, March soybeans were down nearly 42 cents on the back of beneficial rains sweeping Central Brazil. Selling pressure permeated into Monday’s session as well, with soybeans trading down into the mid 1230’s. So, the question now becomes, will March…

2-Minute Drill ā± April Live Cattle

We are going to be looking at April Live Cattle. So let’s dive in and get this clock rolling! Matthew Bresnahan, Market Strategist    Good afternoon, traders, and Happy New Year. This is Matthew Bresnahan with Blue Line Futures coming to you from the Chicago Board of Trade with today’s edition of the two minute…

2-Minute Drill ā± Soybeans & Crude Oil

We are going to be looking at the March Soybeans and February Crude Oil. So let’s get this clock rolling! Matthew Bresnahan, Market Strategist   

Buying Opportunity in T-Notes Coming?

After putting in a bottom in mid-October, T-notes have rallied sharply higher. Patient bulls have been afforded few opportunities to enter the contracts on a pullback, but that may soon change. Pullbacks are a healthy part of any sustained rally, as they allow market participants to take profits from longer held positions, and reallocate capital…

To Bean or Not Bean? New Highs In Store For Coffee Futures?

Coffee futures have enjoyed a jolt higher over the past fiscal quarter. After bottoming in October, coffee futures have made successively higher lows and higher highs each step of the way. But is this sustainable? Arabica coffee originating from Brazil have suffered abnormally dry conditions. Considering that Brazil is one of the largest producers of…

2-Minute Drill ā±ļø Live Cattle and Soybeans

We are going to be looking at the February live cattle contract in the January soybean contract. So let’s get this clock rolling! AUTO-TRANSCRIBED Good afternoon, traders. This is Matthew Bresnahan with Blue Line Futures coming to you from the Chicago Board of Trade. With today’s edition of the two minute drill, we are going…

Live Cattle in Limbo

Bullish Divergence in Live Cattle – Are We Approaching a Bottom?

Bitcoin to 40k

Bitcoin finished the holiday-shortened week with a bang.

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