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Grain Traders Await New News from the USDA

Grain Express

/ by BlueLineFutures

Grain Traders Await New News from the USDA

Grain markets are relatively quiet in the early morning trade as market participants gear up for the monthly data dump from the USDA.

Soybeans

Technicals
Soybeans remain very choppy which has kept Bulls and Bears on the edge of their seats. Yesterday, our pivot pocket from 982-985 was on the verge of giving way but it was able to be defended again which has led to technical buying, taking prices back into first resistance from 1003-1008 1/4. The hurdle above here comes in from 1021 3/4-1028. Above that and the market could have some runway to work with.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance:1003-1008 1/4***, 1021 3/4-1028***, 1055-1062 1/2****

Pivot: 982-985

Support: 963 1/4**, 940–945 1/4***

Friday’s Report (average) Estimates

  • Yield: 51.6
  • Harvested Area: 86.306
  • Production: 4.453
  • US Ending Stocks: .457
  • Quarterly Stocks: 3.231
  • World Ending Stocks: 132.20

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 1.7.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for January soybean futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update
(Updated on 1.7.25)

Managed Money reduced their net short position by 25,436 contracts from December 24h to December 31st, trimming their net short position to 42,447 contracts.

Wheat

Technicals
What has been the “anchor” recently as it continues to fish for a low. Support from 520 3/4-529 will be important for the Bulls to defend but more importantly will be a close above resistance. For this market to get some wind in it’s sail defending support will not be enough, the Bulls need to see consecutive closes back above 548 1/2-554 3/4 to spark a more meaningful rally. Until then, the Bears have the advantage on the chart.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 548 1/2-554 3/4****, 564 3/4-569**, 574 1/2-577 1/2***
Pivot: 540-542
Support: 520 3/4-529 1/4***


Friday’s Report (average) Estimates
US Ending Stocks: 1.675

Quarterly Stocks: 1.565

World Ending Stocks: 257.86

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 1.7.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for March wheat futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update
(Updated on 1.7.25)

Managed Money reduced their net short position by 8,247 contracts from December 24th to December 31st, expanding their net short position to 86,762 contracts.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Research Disclaimer

All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Blue Line Futures LLC shall be construed as, or is in the nature of, a Solicitation for entering into a futures transaction. Blue Line Futures LLC does not employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.

Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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