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WTI Crude Oil Slides Amid Trump Inauguration Uncertainty: Volatility Ahead?

Energy Update

/ by BlueLineFutures

WTI Crude Oil Slides Amid Trump Inauguration Uncertainty: Volatility Ahead?

WTI Crude Oil Futures (March) 

Friday’s Settlement: 77.88 down -0.80 [ -1.02%], up +2.05 [+2.71%] for the week   

WTI Crude Oil futures recorded their fourth straight week of gains last week as new U.S. sanctions threatened close to 1 million bpd of supply. Tanker rates skyrocketed as importers scrambled for cargo within a new, smaller fleet of unsanctioned vessels.    

Today, futures are lower by -0.86 [-1.06%] to 76.55  

Today is inauguration day, as well as Martin Luther King Jr. day; U.S. equity and bond markets are closed for the holiday. 

Futures are trading lower this morning after a Wall Street Journal article was released saying that the Trump administration will not implement tariffs on day one. The administration instead will study trade relations with each individual country and will review section 232 tariffs. 

WTI Crude Oil futures dropped close to $1 on the release of this article as the U.S. dollar dropped sharply. 

Technical Analysis:

With the Trump inauguration and limited holiday liquidity, volatility will likely be amplified today. This morning’s trade is already showing this to be the case. Aggressive positioning is cautioned against as headlines will likely whipsaw this market in either direction.

Friday’s settlement above our major three-star support level of 76.93-77.04*** kept futures in a consolidating pattern. Today, futures are trading below that level and nearing support at 76.16***.

Again,  we caution against aggressive positioning in either direction in the first few days of the trump administration as headlines are likely to whipsaw this market. Risk management will be key in the first few months of the new administration as markets readjust to the new administration.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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