A Choppy Livestock Trade to Start the Week

Livestock Round Up

/ by BlueLineFutures

A Choppy Livestock Trade to Start the Week

Cattle futures were mixed with lean hogs mostly lower. What’s on tap for today’s trade?

By Oliver Sloup

Feeder Cattle (March)


March feeder cattle futures attempted to pop out of the top end of the range but fell flat against resistance, which keeps the market mostly range bound between 265ish and 270ish. A breakout above or below here could lead to a higher velocity move in the corresponding direction.

There have been multiple reports out of Mexico regarding the boarder reopening for cattle trade, but we have yet to see any definitive statement from the USDA.

Resistance: 270.05-271.00*
Pivot: 266.75-267.75
Support: 263.00-263.27**, 260.075-260.70****


Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 1.21.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for March futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Report
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net buyers of about 2.500 contracts, expanding their net long position to another new record, 28,749. The 3-year chart of fund positioning below speaks for itself.


Lean Hogs (February)


February lean hogs were choppy in yesterday’s trade, which amounted to a “ho-hum” day. The deferred contracts saw more weakness, which does not look great on a chart. We like looking at the bearish side for deferred contracts out to June and believe options are a good way to gain that exposure while limiting risk.

Resistance: 83.97-84.30***, 86.50-87.00****
Pivot: 82.05-82.27
Support: 80.75-81.20**, 78.90-79.20****


Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 1.21.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for February futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Report
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net buyers of about 6.5k contracts. Their net long position stands at 103,598 contracts.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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