WTI Crude Oil Futures Rebound Amid Trade Tensions and Inflation Flows

Energy Update

/ by BlueLineFutures

WTI Crude Oil Futures Rebound Amid Trade Tensions and Inflation Flows

WTI Crude Oil Futures (March)

Friday’s Settlement: 71.00, up +0.80 [+1.13%], down -1.53 [-2.11%] for the week

WTI Crude oil futures bottomed on Friday after a rough week of trading.

Trade tensions, especially with China, weighed on the contract as news broke that Chinese refiners would be reselling previously secured U.S. barrels back onto the export market.

Today, futures are higher by +1.00 [+1.44%] to 72.03

President Trump announced blanket 25% tariffs on Aluminum and Steel over the weekend. The commodity space is seeing strength this morning as inflation flows and commodity index longs continue to build.

The macro environment is trading mixed with the Dollar stronger, rates lower, and metals markedly higher alongside both Crude Oil and equity indices.

Last Friday’s COTR report from the CFTC showed that managed money had pulled back their bullish bets in crude oil once again. The two week pullback in bullish bets has been at the fastest pace since 2017.

Russia reported that their January production levels had fallen even further below their OPEC+ allocation to 8.962mln bpd.

Technical Analysis:

WTI Crude Oil futures held our key three-star support level of 70.53-70.64* last Friday as traders covered shorts into the weekend. Futures are trading above our major, rare four-star support level of 71.25-71.63** this morning.

If futures can settle above this major four-star level, it would signal a clear turn in momentum. While the fundamental headwinds remain fairly significant, inflation flows and technical support may aid the contract. Traders need to continually be aware of headline risk and whippy markets.

For intraday trading our pivot and point of balance is set at 71.25**** with support at 70.64 and resistance at 72.00. At the U.S. open, WTI Crude Oil futures are attempting to make a breakout. Through the day, a better buy level may present itself.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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