Cattle Consolidated on Friday while Lean Hogs got Hit Hard

Livestock Round Up

/ by BlueLineFutures

Cattle Consolidated on Friday while Lean Hogs got Hit Hard

Livestock traders are gearing up for the last trading day of the month, these are the levels to keep an eye on this week.

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Live Cattle (April)

 

April live cattle futures were in consolidation mode on Friday, as traders awaited new news in the form of a Cattle on Feed report. That report was neutral/bullish in our estimates, whether or not the market reacts to it at all today is still TBD. Technical support remains intact from 193.025-193.075, a break and close below there and we could see another round of long liquidation. With that said, from a risk/reward standpoint the buyside does look fairly attractive here in the short term. If the Bulls can reclaim ground above our pivot pocket from 194.45-195.47, we could see a greater effort for the board to converge with cash.

Resistance: 199.70-200.00***, 201.975-203.00***
Pivot: 194.45-195.47
Support: 193.025-193.075**, 189.80-190.75***

Cattle on Feed
On Feed: 99.3% VS Estimates from 98.8 – 99.9%

Placements: 101.70% VS Estimates from 100.0 – 106.1

Marketings: 101.4% VS Estimates from 101.3 – 102.5

-We’d consider this to be a Neutral/Bullish report.

Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were lower on Friday afternoon with choice cuts 1.86 lower to 310.77 and select cuts .62 lower to 302.56. Friday’s slaughter was reported at 107k head. That put the week to date total at 554k, 35k less than the same period last year.

The CME feeder Cattle Index is at 278.84 with the NBW Real-Time Index showing 285.00 as of this morning.


Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 2.24.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for April futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

 


Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds net long 128,469 futures and options contracts, the third week of net selling.

 

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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