WTI Crude Oil Futures Stabilizing Around Key Support; Risk-Defined Longs in Play

Energy Update

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WTI Crude Oil Futures Stabilizing Around Key Support; Risk-Defined Longs in Play

 

WTI Crude Oil Futures (April)

Yesterday’s Settlement: 66.31, down -1.95 [-2.86%]

Please note that our trading Bias below the technical section has shifted to Neutral / Tactically Bullish

Crude Oil markets finished sharply lower as headlines regarding the Mexico / Canada tariffs continued to signal a potential rollback.

The Chinese embassy also tweeted they were “Ready for a trade war or any kind of war that the U.S. wants. This came as the Chinese Navy continues to conduct live-fire drills off the coast of Australia. I don’t think we’re going to war with China, but the sentiment should be noted.

Today, April Futures are higher by +0.39 [+0.59%] to 66.70

Global risk assets are trading mixed to risk-off today. The Dollar is weaker once again, while U.S. equities are markedly lower. Interest rates are mixed, but bonds have seen broad buying since 2 a.m.

Crude is holding major support for now. Bearish catalysts have seemingly come out of the wood work over the past three weeks to continually pummel this market. A consolidation at these levels is vital, a break below here opens the door up, technically speaking, to the lower 60’s and potentially a high 50 handle.

Taking a shot at some risk-defined crude longs around the 65 level is not a bad bet with inventory levels sitting where they’re at. Front-month futures should have some cash market strength behind them; the issue is getting whacked upside the head by the latest headline / bear catalyst that’s likely coming around the corner. But, down around 65.00, the risk-reward starts looking tolerable ok. Risk-defined positioning is strongly advised – speak to your Blue Line Futures point of contact for more information if interested.

Technical Analysis:

WTI futures touched a low of 65.22 yesterday but rallied back to settle above our major three-star support level of 65.99-65.41***. We are hoping a tradeable range starts developing here between 65.99*** and the top end of our longer-term pivot pocket of 68.00***.

Volatility is likely to continue; prioritize risk management. But, risk defined long positions down around 65 are not bad bets in relation to the current inventory levels. We advise keeping long positioning as close to front month futures as possible. We may begin nibbling at some longs here but our confidence level is low.

For intraday trading our pivot and point of balance is set at…

 

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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