More Pressure to Come for Livestock Markets?

Livestock Round Up

/ by Blue Line Futures

More Pressure to Come for Livestock Markets?

Outside markets continue to be in a risk-off trade, though well off the Sunday night lows. Will long liquidation continue in livestock?

EXPANDED TRADING LIMITS
Due to a limit down trade on Friday for live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hogs, we have expanded limits in all three for today’s trade.

Live Cattle: 9.75

Feeder Cattle: 12.25

Lean Hogs: 6.00

Heading into the weekend livestock markers were locked limit lower. Talking with many clients on Friday we reiterated the three possible outcomes: good news, bad news, and no news, with no news skewing negative. Outside markets are off their overnight lows but largely still sharply lower. If the tariffs are not walked back or watered down, we see additional pressure in livestock as the likely outcome for two main reasons: Record net long and serious concerns over the global economy. If you’re a Fund manager with a cattle position on (that’s likely been very profitable), I can’t imagine trying to explain to your boss why you’re still long cattle with these headwinds. With that said, a lot can change very quickly in this environment, so stay nimble. Position sizing is paramount.

 

Wath us on RFD-TV, today at 9:45am CT!
Live Cattle (June)

 

In this type of environment, you have a lot of moving parts, primarily forced liquidation and emotions. This can cause irrational trade movements which make technicals even less reliable than they might otherwise be. Markets in this environment also tend to overshoot fair value.

Resistance: 203.25-204.20**, 206.92-207.30**
Pivot: 199.60-199.975
Support: 195.65-196.07***, 192.725-193.419***, 189.175-190.00****


Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were mixed on Friday afternoon with choice cuts .08 higher to 338.45 and select cuts .66 lower to 317.18. Friday’s slaughter was reported at 109k head. The 5-area average price for live steers was reported at 212.26.

The CME feeder Cattle Index is at 291.95 with the NBW Real-Time Index showing 290.59 as of this morning.

Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 4.7.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for June futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).


Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net buyers of roughly 4.8k futures/options contracts, expanding their net long position to 142,777 futures and options contracts.

Stay ahead of the herd! 

Subscribe to our daily Livestock Roundup for exclusive insights into Feeder Cattle, Live Cattle, and Lean Hogs. Get access to our proprietary trading levels and actionable market biases delivered straight to your inbox—every day.

https://bluelinefutures.com/free-trial/

Sign up for a 14-day, no-obligation free trial of our proprietary research with actionable ideas! Free Trial Start Trading with Blue Line Futures Subscribe to our YouTube Channel
Email info@Bluelinefutures.com or call 312-278-0500 with any questions -- our trade desk is here to help with anything on the board!

Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500



Blue Line Futures

141 W. Jackson Blvd., Suite 2620 Chicago, IL 60604

info@bluelinefutures.com
(312) 278-0500
(F) (888) 370-2221

Quick Links
Markets
About

© 2025 by Blue Line Futures, LLC. All rights reserved.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors.

Privacy Policy Illustration by Freepik Storyset

Get in touch with us today.
Press the contact us button to reach out to us or take a look at our social media pages.

Contact Us


Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Research Disclaimer

All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Blue Line Futures LLC shall be construed as, or is in the nature of, a Solicitation for entering into a futures transaction. Blue Line Futures LLC does not employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.

Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

To top