Can Grain Markets Remain Strong This Week?

Grain Express

/ by Blue Line Futures

Can Grain Markets Remain Strong This Week?

Grain markets had an impressive move here last week but are flat to softer as we start a new week of trade. Can the rally continue or is the rally due for a pause?

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Corn


Friday’s Recap
July Corn futures closed the session at a one month high of 497’0 Friday, gaining 8’2 (1.69%). Total volume was a heavy 746,378, with July seeing 275,411 done. Combined open interest rose 3,421 (0.20%), with July gaining 33,693, or 5.82%, to 612,497.

Technicals
May corn futures have strung together an impressive winning streak but are on the verge of breaking that today with slightly lower price action to start the week. First major resistance to start the week comes in from 493 1/2-497 1/4, a move out above there and we could be talking about a retest of contract highs at 518 3/4. Keep in mind that the shot clock is winding down on the May contract, so if you’re considering establishing a position for longer than two weeks, you may want to look at July the July contract. On the support side, the Bulls want to defend 483 3/4-488 1/2 to prevent a round of profit taking.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 493 1/2-497 1/4***, 504 1/2**, 510-512***
Pivot: 483 3/4-488 1/2
Support: 472 3/4-473 1/2***, 454 1/2-457 3/4***


Popular Options
The May OCD 460 put saw the most changing hands with 10,225 contracts done. Options with the greatest open interest are the July 500 call with 38,424, and the Dec 400 put with 23,884.

Volatility Update
Corn implied volatility was sharply higher as CVL gained 1.5 to end the day at 22.03. Dropping 1.80% to a one month low, historical volatility (as measured by the 30-day) ended the session at 17.64%. The CVL Skew ended the session sharply higher, adding 0.78 to close at 1.45, a one week high.

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 4.14.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for July corn futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

 

Commitment of Traders Update

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net sellers of about 3.2k futures and options contracts, shrinking their net long position to 53,576.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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