Grain Futures Post Reversals on Tuesday

Grain Express

/ by Blue Line Futures

Grain Futures Post Reversals on Tuesday

Grain futures were uniformly lower early in Tuesday’s trade but reversed to finish off the lows and in some cases higher. Those reversals have failed to find much follow-through overnight, will buyers step in during regular trading hours?

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Corn

Tuesday’s Recap

July Corn futures closed at a one month low of 442’4 Tuesday, down 5’4 (1.23%). Across all maturities, volume was 511,493, with the July maturity seeing 241,737 traded. Combined open interest rose 11,001, or 0.70%, with July higher by 3,893 (0.58%) to 674,368.

Technicals 

July corn futures continued to trade lower yesterday, testing and holding 4-star support then recovering some lost ground.   That little recovery into the afternoon (on the back of a reversal back higher in beans and wheat) offered a glimmer of hope that we could be carving out a near term low, but the overnight trade has that in limbo with prices struggling to stay above our pivot pocket.  The RSI is at 26.34, the most oversold levels since last June.   Seasonally you’d think we’d be able to see some premium come into the markets from the lower end of the risk range. Looking back at last year, today/tomorrow mark the anniversary of last year’s high.  

Technical Levels of Importance

  • Resistance: 450 1/2-455 1/4***, 463 1/4-465 1/4***
  • Pivot: 442 1/4-445 3/4
  • Support: 436-437****

Popular Options

Option trading centered around the July 445 calls with 5,868 done and the July 425 puts with volume of 2,993. Options with the most open interest are the Dec 500 call with 34,195, and the Dec 400 put with 25,521.

Volatility Update

Corn implied volatility ended the session moderately higher as CVL increased 0.26 to settle at 23.86. Up by 0.0299%, historical volatility (as measured by the 30-day) closed the day at 19.44%. The CVL Skew closed the day higher, up by 0.32 to end at 2.62.

Seasonal Tendencies Update

(Updated on 5.12.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for July corn futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).  


Commitment of Traders Update

  • Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net sellers of about 57k futures and options contracts through May 6th, shrinking their net long position to 13,893, the smallest net long position since October. 

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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