New Swing Highs Ahead of CPI as Trade Deal Optimism Builds
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E-mini S&P (June) / E-mini NQ (June)
S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6045.00, up 34.75
NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 21,962.50, up 141.00
E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures settled at new swing highs yesterday, finding tailwinds from comments that U.S.-China trade talks in London “are going well.” Inflation will also come into focus this morning with the May CPI due at 7:30 am CT. Expectations are for Core at +0.3% m/m, up from +0.2% and +2.9% y/y, up from +2.8%. Headline is expected at +0.2% m/m, unchanged, and +2.5% y/y, up from +2.3%.
Breaking News: President Trump has signed a deal with China, awaiting Chinese President Xi’s approval. Details are coming out now.
Price action remains extremely constructive as it rides positive news flows and consolidates at/under a critical area of resistance. Although we remain very bullish this year, as we discussed in detail yesterday (read the note), we want to poke holes in our thesis. Are we due for a pullback, something to get the bears excited, just to squash their hopes? With the infamous ascending wedge making its way through social media posts, such a head fake pullback would be right on cue. Additionally, a near-term concern would be whether all the good news, right here and right now, is already priced in. Regardless, technicals are driving things, and given yesterday’s new settlement swing high, we see support in the E-mini S&P at….
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