Livestock Markets in Focus after a Choppy Trade on Friday

Livestock Round Up

/ by Blue Line Futures

Livestock Markets in Focus after a Choppy Trade on Friday

A choppy livestock trade on Friday ahead of the Cattle on Feed report and weekend of geopolitical uncertainty.  Where does that leave us on the charts to start the last full week of the quarter?

 

 

Live Cattle (August)

Live cattle futures attempted to recover on Friday but that strength fizzled out and turned to weakness and a lower close. The chart is starting to look more bearish after last week , but fundamentals remain pretty stout in the near term. Some of the weakness in Friday’s trade may have came on the back of position squaring ahead of the cattle on feed report and ahead of a weekend where geopolitical risks filled the air with uncertainty. The CoF report was mostly neutral and outside markets are calm in the early morning trade.

Resistance: 216.00-216.075***, 220.00-220.25**
Pivot: 212.10-213.05
Support: 206.95**, 205.30-205.40***, 203.52-204.07****

Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were mixed on Friday afternoon with choice cuts 3.29 lower to 390.50 and select cuts 2.36 higher to 376.95. Slaughter on Friday was reported at 102k head, 16k less than the same day last year. The 5-area average price for live steers was reported at 236.20. The CME Feeder Cattle Index is at 310.99 with the NBW Real Time Index at 309.96 this morning.

Cattle on Feed VS Estimates

On Feed: 99% VS EST 98.1-99.6%, AVG 99.%

Placements: 92% VS EST 88.0-97.7%, AVG 94.9%

Marketings: 90% VS EST 89.3-95.0%, AVG 90.3%

Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 6.23.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for August futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update
*Updated data will be released this afternoon, due to last week’s mid-week Holiday.

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net buyers of roughly 6.2k futures and options contracts, brining the net long to 137,836. A historically lofty position but still below the All Time High record that was set at the end of January, 156,909.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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