Mixed Markets to Start Tuesday's Trade
Grain markets stabilize following a whacky Monday trade. These are the levels to watch.
Outside Markets & Headlines
Shortly after hitting send in yesterday’s commentary, President Trump dropped a tape bomb on Truth Social that sent equity markets screaming higher, while oil dropped like a rock. Intra-day highs and lows for those markets held through the session as markets walked back some of the optimism around peace in the middle east. Regardless of what your opinion or bias is on those headlines, it’s a reminder that the market doesn’t care about your bias or opinion. It’s more important than ever to be financially and mentally prepared for a random headline or social media post to unravel what your bias may have been.
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Grain Market Specific Headlines
-Reuters
SOYBEAN FLASH SALES: The U.S. Department of Agriculture confirmed private sales of 161,120 metric tons of U.S. soybeans for delivery to Mexico in the 2025/26 marketing year that began September 1, 2025.
CORN FLASH SALES: The USDA also confirmed private sales of 102,000 tons for U.S. corn to Mexico for 2025/26 delivery.
Monday’s weekly export inspections were inline with expectations for corn and soybeans. Wheat inspections came in above the top end of expectations.
Corn
Technicals (May)
Corn left a bit of an ugly tail on the chart in the Sunday/Monday trade, but avoided significant technical damage by defending the 20-day moving average. That comes in at 455 1/2 this morning. A failure there and further pressure to 447 1/4-450 could be instore. This pocket represents the 100 and 200 day moving averages, along with previously important price points. On the resistance side, the Bulls want to see consecutive closes above 469-470 1/2.
Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 469-470 1/2***, 476-477 3/4***, 487 1/4-488****
Pivot: 463 1/4-464
Support: 455-457***, 447 1/4-450****, 442 1/2**
Seasonal Tendencies
Below is an updated look at historical price averages for December corn over different time frames, 5, 10 ,15, 20, and 30 years. Historically the month of March has proven to be on the choppier side, with shorter term price averages looking more favorable than the longer term ones.
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