Grain Markets Get Hit Hard
Outside Market Headlines
WASHINGTON/DUBAI/TEL AVIV, April 8 (Reuters) – The United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan, potentially suspending a six-week-old war that has killed thousands, spread across the Middle East and caused unprecedented disruption to the world’s energy supplies.
Trump announced the agreement late on Tuesday, just two hours before a deadline he had set for Iran to open the blockaded Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its “whole civilisation”.
Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said he had invited Iranian and U.S. delegations to meet in Islamabad on Friday. The deal is subject to Iran’s agreement to pause its blockade of oil and gas passing through the strait, Trump said.
A Quick Look at Outside Markets (at 5:30am ct)
S&P: +2.67%
NQ: +3.51%
Gold: +2.67%
Oil: -16.28%
Grain Market Headlines
Estimates for Thursday’s WASDE Report:
Corn
Technicals (May)
Corn futures retreated yesterday, retesting our significant 4-star support pocket which we’ve had outlined as 446 3/4-449 1/4 (yesterday’s low: 448 1/4). An evening headline lead to that pocket giving way overnight, which triggered additional technical pressure which dropped prices right near our next support level: 442 1/2, so far the overnight low as 442 1/4. Below that and the selling would likely continue to snowball. The Bulls have their work cutout for them to get the chart back in good graces. Old support will now be resistance, which comes with a gap now too, that pocket will be 446 3/4-448 3/4.
Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 459 3/4 -462**, 469-470 1/2***
Pivot: 446 3/4-449 1/4
Support: 440 1/4-442 1/2**, 434-437***
Seasonal Tendencies
Below is an updated look at historical price averages for December corn over different time frames, 5, 10 ,15, 20, and 30 years. Historically the month of March has proven to be on the choppier side, with shorter term price averages looking more favorable than the longer term ones.
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