Cattle Futures Fishing for a Bottom

Livestock Round Up Research Posts

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Cattle futures rallied to end the week, but the Bulls still have plenty of work to do to get the technicals back in their favor.

Live Cattle

Technicals (February – G)

February live cattle futures were able to stage an impressive recovery on Friday, but these recovery rallies have been short lived.  The Bulls will want to see follow through this week or at the very least stabilization.  A close back above 168.00-168.50 could spark the healing process.  Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money holding a net long position of 27,723 futures/options contracts, the smallest net long position since July of 2022.  In May of 2022 that net long position got as small as 12,085 futures/options contracts. 

Our inhouse CMT (Chartered Market Technician) did note a bullish divergence taking place in Friday’s 2 Minute Drill, you can watch that here: Watch Now!

Resistance: 168.00-168.50****, 174.75-175.25***

Pivot: 166.25

Support: 162.25-162.60***,160.50-161.00**

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line). 

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (January – F)

January feeder cattle had a nice move higher on Friday but as with live cattle, these relief rallies have been short lived.  The Bulls need to see some follow-through and stabilization this week to feel more confident in thinking that a near term low may be in.  The barrier we will be keeping a close eye on comes in from 216.40-218.00, which was tested twice last week. 

Resistance: 223.00-224.52***, 232.20-233.50***

Pivot:  216.40-218.00 

Support: 209.00-210.00**

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results

Lean Hogs

Technicals (February – G)

February lean hogs were able to rally on Friday, but it did little to alleviate the losses for the week.  The Bulls want to see a close out above 70.00 to spark a move back to 71.50-72.00.  A failure to do so keeps the Bears comfortably in charge of the chart and keeps the door open for a retest of the low. 

Resistance:  74.00-74.500***

Pivot: 71.50-72.00

Support: 67.15-67.80***, 65.40-65.67**

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Oliver Sloup, VP & Co-Founder, Blue Line Futures

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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