What to Watch for in Today’s Livestock Trade

Livestock Round Up Research Posts

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With the Cattle on Feed report behind us, will cattle be able to resume their recovery rally, or will profit taking ensue?

Live Cattle

Technicals (April- J)

April live cattle futures were able to breakout last Thursday but failed to find much follow-through on Friday’s trade.  The recent rally has taken prices back to the breakdown point from the November 24th breakdown point, which seemed fitting ahead of the Cattle on Feed report.  That report showed cattle on feed at 102%, placements at 96%, and marketings at 99%.  These were all within the range of expectations.  

Resistance: 175.70-176.40***

Pivot: 173.50-174.00

Support: 172.27**, 170.50-171.00***

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line). 

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results. 

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money positioning was little changed from the previous week, holding a net long position of 13,410 futures/options contracts.

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (March – H)

March feeder cattle surged higher for the first four days of last week’s trade but stalled out on Friday as some traders may have been looking to square things up ahead of the cattle on feed report.  The next resistance pocket comes in from 234.52-235.70.  On the support side, 226.85-227.925 is the pocket to keep an eye on. 

Resistance: 234.52-235.70***

Pivot:  230.00 

Support: 226.85-227.925***, 223.00-224.52**

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results. 

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed funds were net buyers for the third consecutive week, bringing them closer to positive territory.  They are now net short just 1,737 futures and options contracts.

Lean Hogs

Technicals (April- J)

April lean hogs are bumping their head up against trendline reistance which is derived from the June highs.  We wouldn’t be surprised to see resistance pocket hold firm tot start the week.  On the support side of things, the line in the sand comes in from 76.725-77.00.  A failure there could accelerate the selling pressure. 

Resistance: 79.425-80.00***, 81.50**

Pivot: 78.82-79.00

Support:  76.725-77.00***, 73.50-74.30****

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results. 

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money trimmed their net short position to just 2,099 futures/options contracts.

Oliver Sloup, VP & Co-Founder, Blue Line Futures

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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