Grain Prices Continue to Slide Lower. Where’s the Bottom?

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Grain futures prices were under pressure to start the week with soybeans making new lows for the move.  What could be the catalyst to encourage a short covering rally?

Corn

Corn futures were under pressure to start the week with the front month March contract leading the way lower, settling at 440 1/4, that was down 6 cents on the day.  Though the market was able to fight off new contract lows by 3/4 of a cent, new closing lows were marked.  The new crop December contract settled the day 1 3/4 cents lower to 474 1/2, a new closing low by 1/2 of a cent. 

This morning’s weekly export inspections were reported at 901,958 MT (35,508,508 bushels), that was within the range of expectations and up from 746,933 MT last week.  

Soybeans

Soybeans got hit hard today, as with corn, the front month March futures contract was the leader to the downside.  At the close March futures were 15 cents lower to settle at 1194 1/4, the lowest close since the first week of June.  New crop November futures were down 4 3/6 at the close, settling at 1180 1/4.

This morning’s weekly export inspections were reported at 889,717 MT (32,691,494 bushels), that was within the range of expectations but below last week’s 1,184,956 MT.

Wheat 

Chicago wheat futures could not buck the weakness in the grain complex today.  At the close, March Chicago wheat futures were 6 3/4 cents lower to settle at 593 1/2.  

This morning’s weekly export inspections were reported at 264,666 MT (32,691,494 bushels), this was below last week’s 315,186 MT and below the range of expectations.

Cattle

Cattle futures were sharply higher mid-morning but reversed to finish the day lower across the board.  At the close April futures were .45 lower to settle at 181.225, that was nearly 2.00 off the intraday high.  February futures are about a week away from first notice day, they settled 1.07 lower to 177.37.

March feeder cattle futures finished the day 1.07 lower to settle at 238.625, that was about 3.30 off the intraday high.

Some of last week’s bullish headlines may have gotten a head of them self, which took prices to their most overbought levels since marking contract highs.  As mentioned on RFD-TV this morning, a consolidation and retracement of the recent rally would likely be welcomed by the long-term Bulls.  

Below are the estimates for Wednesday’s biannual Cattle Inventory report. 

Lean Hogs

April lean hogs were able to catch a bid into the close, settling the day 17 cents higher to settle at 83.42, that was near the highs of the day.  With prices near the October/November highs, we wouldn’t be surprised to see the market attempt to catch its breath near these levels.  


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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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