Will the Livestock Rally Continue?

Livestock Round Up Research Posts

/ by BlueLineFutures | 2 Comments on Will the Livestock Rally Continue?

Livestock futures were sharply higher last week, will that momentum carry over into this week’s trade?

Live Cattle

Technicals (April- J)

April live cattle futures continued to run higher into the weekend, marking new highs for the move, which takes us back to levels not seen since the first week of November.  That brings the RSI to 71.75, the highest levels since September.  

Friday’s daily livestock summary showed the 5-area average price for live steers at 175.39.  Daly slaughter was reported at 121,000 head, that put week to date totals at 613k head, about 30k more than the previous week but about 9k less than the same period last year. 

Resistance: 182.60**, 184.65-185.00***

Pivot: 180.72-180.95 

Support: 177.875-178.175***, 175.70-176.40***

Seasonal Tendencies

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line). 

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results. 

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money positioning was little changed from the previous week, holding a net long position of 13,410 futures/options contracts. 

Feeder Cattle

Technicals (March – H)

March feeder cattle futures climbed back to their highest levels since the first week of November.  If the Bulls can keep the momentum going to start the week we could see an extension towards the November highs, 244.52-244.57.  A break and close back below Friday’s low could spark some profit taking, that comes in at 237.57.

Resistance:  244.50-245.00***

Pivot:  237.57 

Support: 234.52-235.75****, 231.975**

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed funds were net buyers for the third consecutive week, bringing them closer to positive territory.  They are now net short just 1,737 futures and options contracts. 

Lean Hogs

Technicals (April- J)

April lean hogs extended the rally on Friday, trading to the highest levels since September.  The rally has brought the RSI to the highest level of the contract’s life time.

Resistance: 85.50-86.05****

Pivot:  82.67-82.80 

Support:  79.425-80.00***, 78.82-79.00**

Seasonal Tendencies 

Below is a look at historical seasonality’s (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).

*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results. 

Commitment of Traders Snapshot

(updated on Mondays)

Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money trimmed their net short position to just 2,099 futures/options contracts. 

Oliver Sloup, VP & Co-Founder, Blue Line Futures

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Blue Line Futures LLC shall be construed as, or is in the nature of, a Solicitation for entering into a futures transaction. Blue Line Futures LLC does not employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.

Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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