Corn futures were able to stage their biggest rally since November. Is there more gas left in the tank?
We are at the Commodity Classic this week!
If you’re going to be in Houston for the Commodity Classic, stop by booth 7727 to say hi! The Grain Express will be abbreviated this week as we have limited time. Our trade desk is ready, willing, and able to help if needed!
Corn
Technicals (May)
May corn futures strung together two consecutive days of gains, amounting to the largest rally since the middle of November. We are resting near trendline resistance in the early morning trade, a close above this could spark additional short covering which could propel prices towards our next resistance pocket, 426 1/2-430.
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 426 1/2-430** 436 1/2-440***
Pivot: 421
Support: 415-416*, 398-402

Seasonal Tendencies
(updated on Mondays)
Below is a look at historical seasonal averages for May corn futures (updated each Monday) VS today’s prices (black line).
*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Fund Positioning
(updated on Mondays)
Funds were net sellers yet again, growing their net short position to a record 340,732 futures and options contracts. Last week marked the eighth consecutive week of selling.

Soybeans
Technicals (May)
May soybeans looked strong yesterday morning but reversed to finish the day lower which has bled into a little weakness in the early morning trade, threatening to take out the recent lows. A break and close below and we are back into uncharted territory. A lingering concern of ours for the longer-term picture is that the market could be pricing in pricing in a chance of a trade war, and if that’s the case that fear wouldn’t be alleviated anytime soon.
Bias: Neutral
Resistance: 1175-1176, 1198-1205 1/2
Pivot: 1145-1157
Support: 1125-1130**

Seasonal Tendencies
Below is a look at historical seasonal averages for May soybean futures VS this year’s price (black line), updated each Monday.
*Past performance is not necessarily indicative of futures results.

Commitment of Traders Snapshot
(updated on Mondays)
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net sellers yet again, extending the streak to 14 consecutive weeks, a new record. They are now net short 136,677 futures and options contracts, the fifth largest net short on record.
