Unit labor costs came in below estimates! Gold is trying to push higher, and the Nasdaq 100 erases most losses seen on Tuesday’s session. With treasury yields unchanged, the Russell 2000 faces major overhead resistance.
Transcript
Good afternoon traders. It’s Chris Chavez with blue line futures and it’s your daily, midday market minute. Yields are unchanged here today. But stocks are rebounding. Can this rally sustained before we get to it? If you’re watching this video, like and subscribe, if you’re on our website, there’s a link to direct you to YouTube and you can subscribe that way. We’d love for you to follow us, we would love for you to help us build our following. Yeah, looking at the markets today yields the tenure just about unchanged actually off of the lows here today. We did see the tenure dip a bit lower, came back now unchanged, and stocks are still pushing higher. Now I think the question is, is can this rally sustained even though yields are unchanged. And when looking at some of the economic data that’s really influencing the interest rate landscape today there wasn’t a lot that showed a significant amount of weakness. Now, unit labor cost did come in under X estimates, four tenths increase versus seven tenths expected. Now this is a really good indicator because this is what businesses are paying for labor. And it’s a really good insight into not only wages wage growth, but inflation too. So seeing unit labor costs come in under estimates was definitely a good thing. As far as the inflation, landscape wage inflation is concerned. But non farm productivity came in slightly above estimates 3.2% versus 3.1%. Initial claims came in slightly higher or actually at estimates 217,000. The previous number was revised higher to 2000 jobs higher from the last number, and it was the exact opposite looking at continuing claims actually came in a bit lower or higher. Sorry, there were more continuing claims and a downward revision to the previous numbers. So really just kind of a mixed bag from both of the indicators that we got from productivity to unit labor costs also initial and continuing claims, kind of the to balanced each other out, I would say and when looking at yields today unchanged, which makes a lot of sense. The positive thing is that even though yields are unchanged, the Russell is still trying to push higher. At one point it was outperforming but the NASDAQ is in the driver’s seat, big outperformance from names like meta, and Vidya. Again, Google and Microsoft actually catching a bid here today, which is nice to see Apple continuing to lag behind. Now, Powell is continuing his test of continuing to testify before Congress today. Yields are you know, not really seeing a big move not only in the tenure, but in some of the other maturities too. And it’s a quiet day today. But we’re going to be getting more economic data tomorrow. And tomorrow is the big important day to pay attention to average hourly earnings, non farm payrolls participation rates and the unemployment rate. Now one thing I want to highlight when looking at Gold is we’re trying to push higher definitely encouraging to see didn’t really see a lot of follow through in the Asia session. Silver trying to push higher as well, I would be worried of a little bit of a blow off top here, I definitely want to see a higher close and we’ll get into some of these levels. Now. Looking at the s&p three star resistance level to pay attention to 5155 251 57 and three quarters want to see us break and close above here or slightly below this level. Now, as I’m shooting this midday. Now looking at the NASDAQ three star resistance level 18,002 52 to 18,002 88. Same thing with the s&p level we’re slightly above this one. And I want to see is breaking close stay above here into the close today. Crude oil three star resistance we are off of the lows today. And it does look pretty encouraging if we can break and close above at 37 to 8085. And we can push back up into the $82 range or so at 180 $2. And then we break and close above 8150 or so then we push on to the mid 80. So it does look encouraging to see crude off of the lows kind of looks like it’s coiling up a little bit and it wants to move a big direction one way or the other. So important to keep an eye on there for crude gold three star resistance if we can break and close above 2171 and five tenths to 2178 and eight tenths. That would look really encouraging the previous close yesterday 2157 and a 10th or so. So as long as we really can sustain a higher close I think it definitely looks encouraging but it could be a blow off top especially if gold starts to reverse today. If you have any questions reach out to our trade desk we’re here for you. Remember, futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.