Good Morning Traders, today is March 11, 2024.
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In today’s edition:
- Discover market sentiment and potential resistance/support levels for E-mini S&P.
- Understand Crude Oil’s bias and identify critical resistance/support zones.
- Gain insights into the outlook for Gold and Silver, including key resistance and support markers.
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E-mini S&P (March) / E-mini NQ (March)
S&P, last week’s close: Settled at 5129.00, down 32.75 on Friday and 17.00 on the week
NQ, last week’s close: Settled at 18,046.75, down 269.50 on Friday and 291.50 on the week
Roll week is here, and as always, we do not shift until Tuesday to the next month (June). Tomorrow also brings the February CPI report. Friday’s reversal and soft Sunday night tape for E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures sets the stage for a healthy consolidation at best. Today’s first hour will be critical, can E-mini S&P futures battle to hold Wednesday’s gap close and developed major three-star support at 5107.25-5111.75? A failure to do so will create a test of high volume supports at 5080.50-5085.75 and then 5058.25-5063. It is no secret that NVDA led Friday’s turnaround, and therefore, we must see construction from E-mini NQ futures against what is now first support at 17,909-17,930, or a retest of last Monday’s low, at minimum, is in the cards.
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 5129-5133.25***, 5141.25-5143.75**, 5155.25-5157.75**, 5161.75-5163.25***, 5187-5193***, 5196.50-5200***
Pivot: 5121-5126.75
Support: 5107.25-5111.75***, 5098.50-5102.50**, 5088.50-5089**, 5080.50-5085.75***, 5070**, 5058.25-5063****
NQ (March)
Resistance: 18,044-18,050***, 18,112-18,118**, 18,144-18,175***, 18,213-18,225**, 18,252-18,288***, 18,316-18,338***, 18,390-18,437***
Pivot: 17,984-18,012
Support: 17,909-17,930***, 17,875*, 17,826-17,849***, 17,724-17,758***
Crude Oil (April)
Last week’s close: Settled at 78.01, down 0.92 on Friday and 1.96 on the week
Despite strength going back to Friday, March 1st, that pinned Crude Oil futures out above the November 30th and January 29th highs, the tape has lacked follow-through. The potential here must be acknowledged that price action is rounding out to roll-over. Still, we remain upbeat, but the bulls must respond constructively to the floor that was created from the middle of February through the February 26th surge, at 75.84-76.17
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 78.34**, 78.65-78.90**, 79.53-79.66**, 80.00-80.10**, 80.37-80.85***
Pivot: 78.02
Support: 77.27-77.58***, 75.84-76.17***, 74.71**, 73.91***, 73.26-73.37***
Gold (April) / Silver (May)
Gold, last week’s close: Settled at 2185.5, up 20.3 on Friday and 89.8 on the week
Silver, last week’s close: Settled at 24.549, down 0.029 on Friday and up 1.185 on the week
Gold futures achieved $2203 on Friday in its best week since the October Hamas attack on Israel. However, Silver has struggled to merely test its late December rebound point from the December 4th blow-off. Longer-term, Silver produced an inverse head and shoulders bottom with 1/22, 2/14, and 2/28 being the points. We also believe Gold is the canary in the mine here. This sets the stage for Silver to lead the next leg. In the shorter term, traders must be cautious for a consolidation on the heels of last week’s rally and for the volatility that could be associated with tomorrow’s CPI.
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 2192.7-2195.5***, 2200-2203***
Pivot: 2183.3-2184
Support: 2178.8**, 2171.5-2174.7***, 2163.2-2165.2***, 2155.2-2158.2**, 2148.2-2150.5***, 2139.7-2141.9***
Silver (May)
Resistance: 24.90-25.15****
Pivot: 24.55-24.61
Support: 24.38-24.45***, 24.17-24.24**, 24.09**, 23.80-23.86***