Will August be a Bearish Month for Cattle Futures

Livestock Round Up

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Cattle futures have been consolidation for a while now, but some analysts caution that there could be headwinds ahead.

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Live Cattle


Technicals (October – V) October live cattle managed to squeeze out a small gain in yesterday’s trade which was actually pretty impressive considering the carnage that we saw in some of the outside markets. August was the leader to the upside yesterday as futures try to converge with cash as first notice day inches closer. With a seasonally weaker time of year approaching, our expectations of a breakout are tempered.

Weekly Exprot Sales for Beef: Net sales of 13,400 MT for 2024 were down 13 percent from the previous week and 4 percent from the prior 4-week average.

Daily Livestock Summary: Cash trade was pretty mute yesterday. Cutouts were softer with choice cuts down .53 to 312.68 and select cuts down 2.70 to 293.96 Daily slaughter was reported at 122k head.

  • Resistance: 187.60-188.55
  • Pivot: 185.77-185.87
  • Support: 181.725-182.25**, 179.60

Below: Hourly chart of October live cattle, dating back to the first week of March.


Below: Seasonal Tendencies for October live cattle. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.


Feeder Cattle

Technicals (August – Q) August feeder cattle futures were lower in yesterday’s trade, but trendline support remains intact. A break and close below our pivot pocket from 256.125-256.70 could spark additional pressure into the market. The next support pocket comes in from 253.40-254.35.

  • Resistance: 259.65-260.25, 262.25-263.00*
  • Pivot: 256.125-256.70
  • Support: 253.40-254.35*, 250.80-251.125

Below: Daily chart of August feeder cattle, dating back to November.

Below: Seasonal Tendencies for September feeder cattle. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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