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Can Cattle Futures Rally in September?

Livestock Round Up

/ by BlueLineFutures | Leave a comment

Will cattle futures be able to find their footing now that we have turned the calendar over into what many view as a more friendly time of year?

Live Cattle (December)

December live cattle futures were able to gain some ground back on Friday but fell short of getting above key resistance levels. Those important resistance levels remain intact to start a new month of trade, we’ve outlined that as 179.10-179.97. A close above this pocket could start to neutralize the technical damage that was done through the month of August. Seasonally, we view the first half of September as a more friendly time of year for live cattle, especially relative to the month of August.

  • Resistance:179.10-179.97, 182.07*
  • Pivot: 177.50
  • Support: 175.92-176.10, 173.17-173.87***

Chart of Interest
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money were holding a net long position of 41,656 futures/options contracts, that was down about 3.5k from the previous week and is the smallest net long position since May.

Feeder Cattle (October)
October feeder cattle finished last week’s trade right near the 20-day moving average, which it seemed to be tethered to through the last four sessions of the month. The trend remains lower but relief to start a new month of trade shouldn’t be unexpected. The first hurdle for the Bulls to get over comes in from 238.80-239.825. A close above that pocket could extend the rally towards 242.75-243.45. This pocket represents the 50% retracement from the start of the selloff on August first to the lows from August 21st. This has also acted and held as resistance in the middle of last month’s trade.

  • Resistance: 242.75-243.45, 244.90-245.87*
  • Pivot: 238.80-239.825
  • Support: 236.57-236.75, 232.75-233.95*

Chart of Interest
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Managed Money were holding a net short position of 3,567 futures/options contracts.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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