Grain markets started the week with a bang, this on the back of Chinese stimulus and weather concerns in South America. Is there more upside to come?
Weekly Export Inspections Summary
- Corn: Above the top end of expectations
- Soybeans: Within the range of expectations
- Wheat: Above the top end of expectations

Corn
Technicals (December)
December corn futures got shot out of a cannon yesterday, erasing losses from last Thursday and Friday which took prices right back to first resistance from 413 1/2-416. If the Bulls can chew through this pocket we could see an extension towards our next resistance pocket, 423 3/4-426 1/2. The Bulls have the advantage of the technical landscape to start the week, but they will need to defend 408 1/2-409 to prevent a retest of last week’s low.
Technical Levels of Importance
- Resistance: 413 1/2-416, 423 3/4-426 1/2*
- Pivot: 408 1/2-409
- Support: 401-403 3/4, 380-385
Crop Progress Update
Good/Excellent Condition: Unchanged at 65%. Expectations were for a decline of 1% to 64%.
Harvested: 14%. The average estimate was 16%.

Soybeans
Technicals (November)
Soybean futures came out of the gate strong to start the week which has spilled over to some strength in the early morning trade. Much of the coverage yesterday was on the back of hot and dry weather in Brazil, but as we were talking with clients the move seemed overdone for that news. Last night China announced the largest stimulus package since Covid, which now makes yesterday’s move make more sense and could create more of a tailwind in the midst of a market environment that seems overwhelmingly bearish. The market is now trading above resistance from 1041 3/4-1042. If the Bulls can keep this momentum going through today’s trade, we could see an extension towards 1082 1/2-1086 3/4.
Technical Levels of Importance
- Resistance: 1082 1/2-1086 3/4*
- Pivot: 1041 3/4-1042
- Support: 1031 3/4-1035, 1023-1024 1/2, 1000-1006 1/2
Crop Progress Update
Good/Excellent Condition: Unchanged at 64%. Expectations were for a decline of 1% to 63%.
Harvested: 13%, in line with the average analyst estimate.

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