Grain Markets Hold Ground

Grain Express

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Despite a weaker trade into the weekend, grain markets have found their footing in the early morning trade. These are the levels to keep an eye on through the week.

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Corn


Friday’s Recap
Corn futures were lower Friday with the Dec contract finishing the session at 404’6, down by 2’0. Overall volume was 339,200, with the Dec maturity seeing 193,538 done. Total open interest finished the day at a one month high of 1,599,029, gaining 1,277, or 0.0799%. Dec open interest decreased 3,761 (0.50%), to 751,371.

Technicals
December corn futures look promising early in Friday’s trade, but that strength gave way as prices retreated to finish the session near the lows, erasing the gains and optimism from Thursday’s reversal. The market opened slightly lower last night but prices have found their footing to bring prices back into our pivot pocket from 406 1/2-408 1/2. If the Bulls can achieve a close above this pocket, we see 413-416 as the next upside objective.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 413-416, 425-426 1/2
Pivot:406 1/2-408 1/2
Support: 397-401 1/4****


Popular Options
The Nov 400 put saw the most traded with 6,104 contracts done. Calls with the most open interest are the Dec 430 strike (30,049), and for the puts are the Dec 400 strike (34,402).

Volatility Update
Implied Volatility ended the session higher with CVL adding 0.34, to close the day at a one week high of 20.05. The 30-day historical volatility closed adding 0.0433% to 17.70%. The CVL Skew finished moderately down, losing 0.07 to end the session at 0.77.

Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed what we all assumed, and that is that Funds were piling back in on the short side through October 15th. The weekly CoT report showed Funds were net sellers of about 72.5k contracts, expanding their net short position to 107,448. Most of the selling was new shorts (58.5k contracts).


Soybeans


Friday’s Recap
Jan Soybean futures closed at a one month low of 982’6 Friday, off by 15’2 or 1.53%. Overall, a heavy 486,381 contracts changed hands, with 154,632 traded in Jan. Across all maturities, open interest fell 4,930, or 0.51%, to end the session with 954,699 outstanding. The Jan maturity gained 1.87% (4,930) to finish at 287,278.

Technicals
November soybeans got taken to the woodshed on Friday which had many thinking we’d see continued weakness to start this week’s trade. Though we saw a slightly softer open, futures have managed to stabilize into the early morning trade. The Bulls will want to see consecutive closes back above 972 3/4-975 to help keep the hopes of a low being in alive. A failure to do so leaves the door open for a retest of the lows and potentially lower, that comes in from 955-957 1/4.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 995 3/4-1001 1/4, 1010-1011 1/2
Pivot: 972 3/4-975
Support: 955-957 1/4****


Popular Options

Option trading centered around the Nov 1020 calls with 6,025 traded and the Nov 970 puts with volume of 7,860. Option open interest is largest for the Nov 1040 calls at 19,190, and the Nov 1040 puts at 19,237.

Volatility Update
As measured by SVL, implied volatility finished sharply up, higher by 1.5 to settle at a one month high of 22.15. The 30-day historical volatility ended the session off 0.41% to a one month low of 17.12%. The SVL Skew was sharply lower with the 30-day off 0.51, finishing at a one week low of 0.55.

Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net sellers of about 27k futures/options contracts through October 15th. The net short position as of Friday’s report stands at -40,488.


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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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