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Lean Hogs Continue to Forge New Highs

Livestock Round Up

/ by BlueLineFutures | Leave a comment

Lean hog volatility lingers near multi-year lows while Funds are nearing record net long.  What could go wrong?

Live Cattle

December live cattle opened lower put quickly found their footing to recoup lost ground and finish the day in positive territory. Friday’s high des remain intact, which was just shy of our resistance pocket from 189-47-190.075. This pocket will continue to be monitored closely as it does represent the upper end of the risk range dating back to May, June, and July.

Resistance: 189.47-190.075, 191.47-191.62
Pivot: 187.675-188.00
Support: 187.00-187.12, 184.55-185.20*


Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were mixed on Monday afternoon with choice cuts 1.26 higher to 323.50 and select cuts -2.90 lower to 292.18. The 5-area average price for live steers was reported at 190.05, steady with the end of last week. Monday’s slaughter was reported at 121 k head, 1k more than the same day last week but 3k less than the same day last year.

Volatility Update
The CME Live Cattle CVOL continues to linger near the lowest levels of the year, which we continue to look at as an opportunity to protect downside risk, either as a trader or hedger. If you’d like to discuss specific trading or hedging strategies, please reach out to the trade desk.

Lean Hogs

December lean hogs were choppy in the last two days of the week, marking new contract highs on Thursday then reversing lower and eventually recovering some midday on Friday. Support was tested and held Friday keeping that pocket intact for today’s trade, 77.90-78.25.

Resistance: 82.50*
Pivot: 79.60
Support: 77.90-78.25, 75.25-76.00

Volatility Update
The CME CVOL index for lean hogs continued to drift lower. With low volatility and Funds near record net long, puts seem like a good risk/reward trade here. Or potentially futures with options as a hedge. Feel free to contact our trade desk for a specific strategy suitable for you.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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