Cattle Futures Front and Center

Livestock Round Up

/ by BlueLineFutures

Cattle Futures Front and Center

Livestock markets work back higher in Wednesday’s trade.  Are new highs in the cards to round out the week?

Live Cattle (February)

Live cattle futures gained some ground yesterday posting a high that was about .25 away from the contract high. Despite the continued strength the RSI is still below what is considered to be overbought with a reading of 67.95 at yesterday’s close. Funds are aggressively long live cattle but still shy of a record. Keep in mind that we have seen Funds take net long positions well past the old record in lean hogs and feeder cattle here recently.

Resistance: 199.57-200.00***
Pivot: 196.20-197.00
Support: 194.40-194.85***, 192.00-192.70***


Daily Cattle and Beef Summary

Cutout values were mixed on Wednesday with choice cuts 1.16 higher to 334.14 and select cuts .67 lower to 318.04. Wednesday’s slaughter was reported at 124k head, 2k more than the previous week and 8k more than the same day last year. The 5-area average price for live steers came in at 204.67.

The CME feeder Cattle Index is down .27 to 278.04 with the NBW Real-Time Index showing 278.55 as of this morning, down .35 from yesterday morning.

Weekly Export Sales Snapshot

Net sales of 9,700 MT for 2025 primarily for Japan (3,600 MT, including decreases of 300 MT), China (3,500 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), South Korea (800 MT, including decreases of 600 MT), Canada (600 MT), and Taiwan (600 MT, including decreases of 100 MT), were offset by reductions for Mexico (700 MT) and Chile (100 MT). Exports of 14,000 MT were primarily to Japan (3,800 MT), South Korea (3,600 MT), China (2,600 MT), Mexico (1,200 MT), and Taiwan (900 MT).

Seasonal Tendency Update
(updated 1.13.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for February futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update

(Updated on 1.14.25, new updates will be out after today’s close)

Monday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net buyers of about 14k contracts, expanding their net long position to 143,456.  Within a stone’s throw of the record 152,634.  Quite possibly we are there since this recent report is only through last Tuesday. 

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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