WTI Crude Surges Above $80: Is Bullish Momentum Here to Stay?
WTI Crude Oil surges above $80, hitting a 5-month high as freight costs climb and crude draws outpace expectations. Key resistance at $80.14 could define today’s momentum. Settlement above or below $79.59 is critical—stay tuned!
WTI Crude Oil Futures (February)

Yesterday’s Settlement: 80.04, up +2.54 [+3.28%]
WTI Crude Oil futures moved sharply higher yesterday, settling above $80 and making a five-month high. Freight costs continue to surge as former buyers of Russian crude search for other suppliers.
The EIA report showed strong crude draws but large product builds, figures are shown as follows [thousand bbls]:
Crude Oil: -1,962 vs -850 estim
Gasoline: +5,852 vs +2,600 estim
Diesel: +3,077 vs +1,340 estim
Refinery Utilization: -1.60% vs -0.90%
The International Energy Agency revised it’s outlook yesterday and moved their 2025 surplus estimate to 725k bbls/day from 1mln bbls/day.
Also, Israel and Hamas have agreed to a ceasefire deal, bringing a temporary halt to the war after 15 months.
Today, futures are lower by -0.40 [-0.50%] to 79.65
Futures are lower today on a mixed macro backdrop. The dollar is trading higher alongside yields while equities and precious metals are trading higher. Precious metals are the strongest on the board this morning.
Technical Analysis
Futures moved sharply higher yesterday, settling above Monday’s high. If we can settle above 80.14, and make a new 12-month high, charts will show little resistance. The sharp move higher yesterday has crude trading right into our major three-star resistance zone of 79.59-80.14 this morning.
While we caution against chasing prices at these levels, we again caution against shorting this market due to the fundamental factors at play.
Intraday, our pivot and point of balance are set at 79.34, resistance is set at yesterday’s high of 80.77, and support is set at 78.35. Our key for the day is a settlement above or below…
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