A Choppy Livestock Trade Presents Shorter Term Opportunities

Livestock Round Up

/ by Blue Line Futures

A Choppy Livestock Trade Presents Shorter Term Opportunities

Livestock markets chop around as headlines continue to push and pull prices, creating shorter term trading opportunities for participants on both sides of the market.

Live Cattle (April)

April live cattle futures traded below the prior day’s low but rebounded quickly to settle right back in our resistance pocket from 196.00-196.60.  If the Bulls can chew through and clear this hurdle, we could see a continuation of the relief rally take prices towards 197.92-198.70.  A failure to find their footing could keep things choppy and rangebound.  This morning’s non-farm payroll report and other economic data was all on the softer side of things, but it didn’t seem to be soft enough to incite a risk-off trade in the outside markets. 

  • Resistance:  196.00-196.60***, 197.92-198.70***
  • Pivot: 194.45-195.47 
  • Support: 192.85-193.075***, 189.80-190.75***

Daily Cattle and Beef Summary 

Cutout values were mixed on Thursday afternoon with choice cuts .42 lower to 313.12 and select cuts .98 higher to 303.51.  Tuesday’s slaughter was reported at 120k head.  

 

The CME feeder Cattle Index is at 276.09 with the NBW Real-Time Index showing 273.97 as of this morning.

Seasonal Tendency Update

(updated 3.3.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for April futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).  


Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds net long 121,311 futures and options contracts, this was the fourth week of net selling.

  

Feeder Cattle (April)

April feeder cattle futures posted an inside day yesterday, trading within the previous day’s range.  Resistance appears to be stout from 276.20-276.825 with additional resistance coming from a declining feeder cattle index.  If the Bulls fail to get out above that pocket, we could see sellers’ step back in and take prices back down to trendline support and the 50-day moving average, that comes in from…..

 

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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