Grain markets are firm in the overnight and early morning trade, will it last?

Grain Express

/ by Blue Line Futures

Grain markets are firm in the overnight and early morning trade, will it last?

Corn, soybeans, and wheat are all higher in the early morning trade. Can the markets regain ground and finish the week back above technical resistance?

Corn


Thursday’s Recap
July Corn futures settled at 472’2 Thursday, off by 3’2, in mostly higher trade. Across all maturities, volume was 345,213, with July seeing 163,168 traded. Total open interest rose 6,510, or 0.42%, to end the session with 1,538,727 outstanding. The July maturity increased by 0.23% (6,510) to finish at 666,768.

Technicals
July silver futures attempted to get back out above our pivot pocket from 474 3/4-477 but ultimately failed. Wednesday’s low at 468 1/2 is still intact and the overnight/early morning action today (Friday) is still contained within the previous day’s range. The breakdown below the cluster of major moving averages earlier in the week does give the Bears the short-term advantage, Bulls need to see consecutive closes back above resistance to repair the damage that was done.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 481 1/2-483 3/4***, 495-497 1/2***
Pivot: 474 3/4-477
Support: 463 1/4-465 1/4***, 450 1/2-455 1/4***


Popular Options
Option trading centered around the June 490 calls with 4,417 done and the July 465 puts with volume of 5,891. Options with the most open interest are the July 500 call with 39,020, and the Dec 400 put with 24,623.

Volatility Update

Implied Volatility ended the day moderately lower with CVL dropping by 0.36, to finish the session at 24.25. The 30-day historical volatility finished the day off 0.37% to 18.07%. The CVL Skew was moderately lower with the 30-day dropping by 0.17, finishing the day at 1.81.

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 4.28.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for July corn futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update
Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed Funds were net sellers of about 12k futures and options contracts through April 22nd, shrinking their net long position to 112,805.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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