Grains Gain Into the Last Trading Day Before Crop Tour

Grain Express

/ by Blue Line Futures

Grains Gain Into the Last Trading Day Before Crop Tour

Grain markets attempt to find their footing into the last trading day of the week. Next week, all eyes will be on the Pro Farmer Crop Tour and their findings.

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Corn

Market Recap
Corn futures were mostly lower Thursday with the Dec contract finishing the session at 397’2, unchanged. Overall volume was 388,553, with the Dec contract seeing 186,631 traded. Combined open interest shed 6,778 (0.43%) to 1,557,018. Dec added 8,474, or 1.07%, finishing at 797,213.

Technicals (December)
December corn futures looked like they were destined for new lows yesterday but held on and defended Tuesday’s low by 1/2 of a cent. Then, the market managed to rally back and stage an impressive close back near the highs of the session. So far, that has carried over into strength to start today’s trade. Price action since the WASDE report continues to be pretty impressive, but the Bulls still have their work cutout for them. Consecutive closes back above 396 3/4-399 is the first step in neutralizing some of the technical damage. 408-411 would be a more significant inflection point for prices. Above that and we could see more of a trend change.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance:408-411***, 415 3/4-416 1/2***, 419 3/4 -422**
Pivot: 396 3/4-399
Support: 383-387**


Popular Options
Option trading centered around the Sep 380 calls with 2,320 traded and the Dec 380 puts with volume of 5,806. Options with the largest open interest are the Dec 450 call with 37,401, and the Dec 400 put with 58,872.

Vol Update
Corn implied volatility closed lower as CVL decreased 0.48 to end the day at 18.84, a one month low. The 30-day historical volatility closed the day off by 0.0740% to 20.41%. The CVL Skew finished the session lower, off 0.24 to settle at 1.73, a one week low.

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 8.11.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for December corn futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

Commitment of Traders Update
The most recent Commitment of Traders report showed Funds increased their net short futures and options position to 173,750.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Research Disclaimer

All information, communications, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Blue Line Futures LLC shall be construed as, or is in the nature of, a Solicitation for entering into a futures transaction. Blue Line Futures LLC does not employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71.

Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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