WTI Futures Trade Lower After Rally; Volatility Risk Remains Elevated

Energy Update

/ by Blue Line Futures

WTI Futures Trade Lower After Rally; Volatility Risk Remains Elevated

**LAST ANALYSIS USING SEP FUTURES | ROLL TO OCT ADVISED

WTI Crude Oil futures rallied yesterday, bouncing off technical support and bullish comments from President Trump. The President made outward statements, seemingly meant to calm market and European leaders’ fears over him pushing a rushed and half-baked ceasefire deal with Russia. This has also been our fear.

We continue to favor owning volatility into the weekend. The meeting is set for 2:30 cst today, allegedly. We again caution against owning open ended risk in either direction. Risk is two sided and significant. We may get through this meeting with limited volatility, but traders need to know the risk is there.

Crude is lower this morning, giving back all of yesterday’s gains to trade back into the 61.94*** support level. The potential ceasefire coming out of this meeting is weighing on crude.

Technical Analysis:

Futures are trading into our key technical support level of 61.94*** this morning. The probability for amplified volatility is higher than usual thanks to geopolitical catalysts.

Futures settled above our longer-term pivot pocket yesterday but have been dragged lower this morning which makes sense. When catalysts this large are on the docket, the normal pattern of technical trading generally doesn’t hold.

Again, we caution against open-ended risk in either direction and favor owning volatility. We have favored this trade all week. If you’re looking to own strangles/straddles and have to enter this morning, you’re too late. While the trade may still make – the risk / reward has shifted back to even odds from favoring the buyer of premium, in our opinion.

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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