Soybeans Trade to 17-Month Highs. More Room to Run?

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Soybeans Trade to 17-Month Highs. More Room to Run?

Soybeans surged higher to start the week on the back of Chinese purchases and the hopes for more to come. Will that optimism around future demand keep the grain train rolling?
 

Soybeans

Technicals (January)
Buy the rumor, sell the news. Soybeans were screaming higher yesterday as rumors circulated that China was in the market for more soybeans. Later in the afternoon, Reuters reported that China’s state-owned grain trader COFCO bought at least 14 cargoes of U.S. soybeans on Monday, or at least 840,000 metric tons, for shipment in December and January. Also helping beans yesterday was a strong NOPA crush, which topped all trade forecasts and hit a record high in October, 227.647 million bushels of the oilseed, up 15.1% from the 197.863 million bushels crushed in September and up 13.9% from the October 2024 crush of 199.943 million bushels. It also eclipsed the previous monthly crush record of 206.604 million bushels set in December 2024.On the 7pm open, the market actually saw minor weakness. Since then, beans have traded into positive territory, but the momentum has slowed. Previous resistance from 1150 1/2-1152 1/4 will now act as the pivot pocket the Bulls need to defend. A break back below here and we could be back into the consolidation zone, or meat grinder area in the mid 1130s. Though we remain optimistic on soybean prices, and grains for that matter, you cannot expect it to be an easy trade with a straight line up and to the right, so being blindly long is ill-advised.

Technical Levels of Importance
Resistance: 1175** ,1200**
Pivot: 1150 1/2-1152 1/4
Support: 1134-1137***, 1112 1/2-1116 1/4***

Seasonal Tendencies Update
(Updated on 11.17.25)

Below is a look at historical price averages for January soybean futures on a 5, 10, 15, 20, and 30 year time frames (Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results).

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

Performance Disclaimer

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points that can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program that cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

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Seasonal Disclaimer

This message and its content is intended only for the person or entity to which it is addressed and should not be shared with additional parties. Seasonal tendencies are a composite of some of the most consistent commodity futures seasonals that have occurred in the past several years. There are usually underlying, fundamental circumstances that occur annually that tend to cause the futures markets to react in similar directional manner during a certain calendar year even if a seasonal tendency occurs in the futures, it may not result in a profitable transaction as fees and the timing of the entry and liquidation may impact on the results. No representation is being made that any account has in the past, or will in the futures, achieve profits using these recommendations. No representation is being made that price patterns will recur in the future.

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