E-mini S&P (December) / E-mini NQ (December)
S&P, yesterday’s close: Settled at 6721.25, up 101.00
NQ, yesterday’s close: Settled at 24,948.25, up 642.75
E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ futures snapped back mightily to start the week. The AI trade came back to life with names like AVGO adding 11.1%, GOOG extending its impressive run with +6.3%, MU +8%, TSLA +6.8%, AMD +5.5%, PLTR +4.8%, META +3.2%, AMZN +2.5%, and NVDA +2%. Although the E-mini NQ is unchanged at the onset of U.S. hours, the run did not stop overnight for AVGO and GOOG, as they each added another 4%. It was reported that META is considering Google’s TPUs for its data centers. Broadcom is one of the largest suppliers of these high-performance, highly specialized chips and works with Google to design its TPU. However, the strength has come at the expense of NVDA, which is -4.5% ahead of the bell.
The economic calendar is playing catch-up after the government shutdown. September headline PPI was in line with expectations at +0.3% m/m and +2.7% y/y. Core PPI was a touch soft at +0.1% m/m versus +0.2% expected and +2.6% y/y versus +2.7%. Retail Sales for September was also light at +0.2% m/m versus +0.4% m/m. Although Core Retail Sales was in line at +0.3%, Retail Control was -0.1% m/m versus +0.3%. Also, the ADP weekly Employment Change, which has become more popular in the absence of weekly Jobless Claims, showed -13.5k jobs. Case Shiller for September is due at 8:00 am CT, Industrial Production at 8:15 am CT, and CB Consumer Confidence at 9:00 am CT.
Yesterday’s strength was relentless, and both the E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ traded into the thick of last Thursday’s selloff. The E-mini S&P traded just shy of a major three-star level we have at 6738.50-6739.50, and the E-mini NQ tested 24,988, which was also last Wednesday’s early peak. It would be healthy to see a bit of consolidation today. We have a list of key supports in the E-mini S&P, but a hold above major three-star support in each, the E-mini S&P and E-mini NQ, will pave the way for a continuation higher, with those levels coming in at…
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