WTI Futures Show Strength Amid Dollar Surge, Rising Inflation, and Potential Mideast Ceasefire

Energy Update

/ by BlueLineFutures | Leave a comment

Yesterday’s Settlement: 68.43, up +0.31 [+0.46%]

WTI Crude Oil futures settled marginally higher yesterday after a steep fall to start the session. December futures fell -1.12 to start the session but held support at 67.00.

Today, crude is entering the U.S. session higher by +0.73 [+1.07%] and is showing relative strength within the commodity space which is largely red on the day. The dollar continues to exhibit impressive strength and is higher by another +0.35% today. Yesterday the Euro blew through support levels and now the Yen is firmly above the key 155 level.     

U.S. PPI figures came in hotter than expected this morning on prior month revisions. Inflation continues to trend upwards and a higher-for-longer interest rate environment is becoming more of a reality. 

Traders continue to grapple with a strengthening dollar, 2025 forecasted surpluses, an evolving Chinese economic situation, and a fragmented Middle East. 

Rumors surfaced yesterday that Israel was mulling a ceasefire with Lebanon-based Hezbollah as a “gift for Trump”. We have yet to see these reports confirmed but ceasefire talks are reportedly showing progress.

The IEA released their monthly oil market report last night, which showed Oil markets in a 1mln bpd surplus in 2025. We view these estimates as overly bearish. 

Due to Monday’s holiday, EIA figures will be released today. Estimates for the number are as follows (thousand bbls):

  • Crude: +1,600
  • Gasoline: +1,000
  • Distillates: +1,266
  • Refinery Utilization: +0.70%

{Two-Day tick chart; US Dollar Index}  

WTI Crude Oil futures held key three-star support levels yesterday rallied back to positive levels. Today, futures are once again showing strength and are working to establish a solid tradeable range. Our pivot and point of balance has been moved to…

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Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Blue Line Futures is a member of NFA and is subject to NFA’s regulatory oversight and examinations. However, you should be aware that the NFA does not have regulatory oversight authority over underlying or spot virtual currency products or transactions or virtual currency exchanges, custodians, or markets. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you considering your financial condition.

With Cyber-attacks on the rise, attacking firms in the healthcare, financial, energy, and other state and global sectors, Blue Line Futures wants you to be safe! Blue Line Futures will never contact you via a third-party application. Blue Line Futures employees use only firm-authorized email addresses and phone numbers. If you are contacted by any person and want to confirm your identity please reach out to us at info@bluelinefutures.com or call us at 312- 278-0500

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